Angus “Statto” Loughran – Premier League Stats & Tips


The weekend’s Premier League action begins at Selhurst Park where Crystal Palace entertain WBA live on BT Sport.

Crystal Palace v West Brom, Saturday. 12:45
After conceding 3 2nd half goals against Everton on Monday, Tony Pulis will have been working overtime on his team’s defence and it may pay to back it to work on what looks sure to be a tight match. I like Evens the first goal after 33 mins or Evens a draw at HT giving you 1-1 running for you as well, while 0-0 is a real possibility and 7/1 is more than fair. Remember to back no goalscorer at the same price as you get concession of the opening goal being an own goal which does not count in this market.

Crystal Palace deserve to be favourites at 4/5 but I would rather back 2 goals or less in the match at 4/6 which appeals to me as the most likely outcome here.

Chelsea v Southampton, Saturday, 5:30
Chelsea are 4/6 to beat Southampton at Stamford Bridge while Chelsea to win with a draw at half time looks over the odds to me at 10/3. The champions are desperate to kick start their Premier League season which has so far only yielded 8 points from 7 matches and sees them in 14th place. With the exception of the win against Arsenal a fortnight ago, Chelsea have not kept a clean sheet in the other 6 matches each time conceding at least 2 goals!

Chelsea will be popular at 13/5 to win with both teams to score. Southampton are looking for their 3rd successive 0-0 draw away in the Premier League following stalemates at WBA and Watford. An unlikely third no goalscorer outcome can be backed here at at 9/1.

Saturday 3pm Fixtures
In the Saturday 3pm kick offs West Ham will be popular at 13/10 to make it 4 away wins in a row following triumphs at Arsenal, Liverpool and Manchester City with a fourth triumph at Sunderland.

Goals may be in short supply at Bournemouth with 21/20 both teams not to score in their home fixture against Watford a great bet. The Cherries whom have had rotten luck with injuries, lost leading goalscorer Callum Wilson last week and have been heavily supported all week into 11/5 to be relegated.

This match against Watford is huge for both clubs in the grand scheme of things and they are 21/20 to win, but of the two bets at the same odds, surely both teams not to score is better value.

Norwich City should be backed at 5/4 to beat Leicester City whom lost for the first time against Arsenal last weekend.

Everton v Liverpool, Sunday, 1:30

It is 31 years since Everton went 10 games without beating Liverpool in a fixture that has produced 20 red cards; the most in Premier League History!

Daniel Sturridge is the key for The Reds and he netted twice last weekend and has five previous Premier League goals v Everton. He can be backed at 6/4 to score at anytime and at 11/4 to score and Liverpool to win. For the neutral, the draw looks value at 11/5 but I doubt there will be many neutrals at Goodison on Sunday!

Arsenal v Man United, Sunday 4pm
Arsenal will be hoping to bounce back from their Champions League horror defeat to Olympiakos on Tuesday but they have a terrible record against Manchester United, only winning one of the last 13 Premier League Meetings and losing 8!

Theo Walcott is the key man for The Gunners having scored 12 in his last 13 Premier League starts and 17 in the last 21 in all Competitions. You can get 2/1 on him scoring and Arsenal winning.

For United, it is 110 weeks since they topped The Premier League for a full week and assuming Man City beat Newcastle, they will need a win to reclaim the top spot. At 14/5 they are a big price.

This is a game which has often seen the first team to score lose and United at 16/1 to win from behind is huge.

Arsenal to win from behind is tempting at 19/2.

Wayne Rooney has netted an incredible 11 goals against Arsenal in the Premier League and is 21/10 to make it 12 on Sunday afternoon.

Swansea v Tottenham, Sunday, 4pm
Tottenham are 13/8 to beat a top flight team 8 times in a row for the first time in the Premier League when they take on Swansea at Liberty Stadium. The Swans have lost the last seven matches against Spurs and only have one draw in their first Premier League encounter.

With Spurs having played on Thursday night, they will be hoping to change that but Tottenham will make many changes and will be hard to beat on Sunday and are sure to be a popular bet with the punters.

*Prices correct at time of publication

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