Angus “Statto” Loughran – Premier League Stats & Analysis
Liverpool launch the Klopp era with the first live Premier League football this weekend at 12:45 on Saturday on BT Sport.
Tottenham v Liverpool, Saturday 17th October, 12:45
Liverpool are hoping to continue a great record at White Hart Lane but recent away form in the top flight is poor for The Reds with their late winner at Stoke securing their only win in their last 9 Premier League away games.
Spurs meanwhile are the only top flight side not to have lost since the opening day when they were unlucky to come away from Old Trafford with nothing. 29/20 looks a reasonable price for a home win although Kloppmania has hit Liverpool and their punters will be snapping up the 9/5 on them to win for a record 6th time in a row at White Hart Lane.
Watford v Arsenal, Saturday 17th October, 5:30
Watford have lost their last five against Arsenal, four of which have come in Premier League. Alexis Sanchez and Theo Walcott, with 12 goals in last 14 Premier League starts, are the two players who can help Arsenal gain 3 points and keep The Gunners very much in the title mix. They are 11/20 for the victory in the 5:30 clash live on Sky Sports.
Saturday 3pm Fixtures
In the other Premier League Matches kicking off at 3pm both Man City and Chelsea are 1/3 for 3 points. City will be without Sergio Aguero and David Silva but still should be too strong for Bournemouth.
Aside from beating Arsenal 2-0, Chelsea have conceded 2 or more goals in their other 7 Premier League Games while Aston Villa haven’t kept a clean sheet and conceded 30 goals in their last 8 visits to Stamford Bridge.
Jose Mourinho has never lost back-to-back home matches as a manager
…and will not want that record broken by Aston Villa on Saturday. On stats this is a must game to be 3 goals or more and backers of Chelsea may look to back Chelsea to win with both teams to score as value, while draw at Half Time and Chelsea Full Time at odds of around 3/1 is also a decent wager.
Everton are 9/4 to beat Manchester United for the 4th time in a row at Goodison Park, a feat also achieved between 1984 and 1987 during the end of Ron Atkinson’s time at Old Trafford and the start of Alex Ferguson’s tenure. It was in 1976/79 that WBA were the last team to beat United at home 4 times in a row without conceding a goal which is what Everton are hoping for on Saturday.
West Ham look a big price at 3/1 to continue their remarkable record away from home this season at Crystal Palace having already won at Arsenal, Manchester City and Liverpool. The appointment of Big Sam as Manager of Sunderland has added spice to their visit to West Brom where 2 goals or less in the match looks the value play.
Newcastle v Norwich, Sunday 18th October, 4:00
Newcastle have been dealt a savage blow with loss of Goalkeeper Tim Krul for the season and they will be desperate for a first league win of the campaign against Norwich ahead of next week’s huge Tyne-Wear Derby. History favours Newcastle as Norwich have lost 6 of their last 7, drawing the other and having not won in the Premier League at St James’ Park, 6/4 may seem short. But even at this early stage in the season it looks a must win for a side who have only won 1 and drawn 4 of their last 18 top flight encounters.
Swansea v Stoke, Monday 19th October, 8:00
Stoke go to Swansea on Monday night having only won once in 18 previous visits in a fixture that has seen 6 home wins in last 8 between the sides. I don’t expect it to be pretty on Monday night but take the Swans to win a low scoring contest.
*Prices correct at time of publication