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Angus “Statto” Loughran – Premier League Tips & Analysis

Stats

Liverpool have a great recent record against Norwich winning 9 of their last 11 at Carrow Road and drawing the other two but it must be pointed out that Luis Suarez scored 12 goals in this run!

Norwich v Liverpool, Saturday 12:45
Nevertheless, Liverpool will be a popular bet at 10/11 in the weekend’s opening Premier League fixture live on BT Sport despite the recent home form of The Canaries whom are unbeaten in last 5 at Carrow Road.

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Crystal Palace v Tottenham, Saturday 3pm
Tottenham are unbeaten in 9 on the road in the Premier League and had a big win on the road at Leicester midweek in the FA Cup while Palace are currently out of form despite a superb season so far.

The last 6 games between these teams have seen 17 goals all scored in the second half with Palace failing to score in 4 of the last 6 at home.

I like the following bets here: 0-0 at Half-Time at 8/5, Draw Half-Time/Tottenham Full-Time at 4/1 and Tottenham to win to nil at 13/5.

Leicester v Stoke, Saturday 3pm
Stoke have been a tough team to beat this season particularly at home and will have one eye on the League Cup Semi-Final second leg next week. Despite their FA Cup exit in midweek, Leicester City whom have won 8 of their last 13 at home, will be popular at Evens to beat Mark Hughes’ side.

Man United v Southampton, Saturday 3pm
Old Trafford has not been a place for goals this season with 9 of the last 10 being 0-0 at Half-Time. Despite a great start to 2016 for Manchester United, they are far from the finished article yet and 7/5 on another scoreless first half at Old Trafford will be popular.

I expect United to win and at 20/23 are a decent price to do so while for those looking for the value, they may like the 10/3 on Draw Half-Time/Manchester United Full-Time.

Wayne Rooney has scored in his last 4 matches and is a decent bet at 13/10 to score anytime and continue this run.

While if Southampton score and they often do against Manchester United, Graziano Pelle, whom has 3 in 3 against United, looks value at 11/4 to score at anytime.

Sunderland v Bournemouth, Saturday 3pm
Sunderland v Bournemouth is a huge game at the foot of table. A win for Bournemouth would give them breathing space above the relegation zone but a home win, and the whole situation at the foot of the table would become wide open.

Sunderland have conceded 8 goals in the first 15 minutes this season, the most in the Premier League while Bournemouth have scored 7 in the opening 15 minutes – more than any other club. Evens on a goal on or before the 32nd minute is one of the weekend’s best bets! A Sunderland win at 21/10 here also looks over the odds for a side whom have lost only once in 7 meetings.

Watford v Newcastle, Saturday 3pm
Watford are 21/20 to beat Newcastle for a 3rd time this season but are currently on a run of 4 defeats in a row and have not suffered 5 top flight losses on the bounce since 1999.

Newcastle are finally beginning to get the points their performances have promised and at 13/5 will have their backers. Certainly Jonjo Shelvey has been one of the buys of the January transfer window so far and has been an instant hit on Tyneside.

West Brom v Aston Villa, Saturday 3pm
Aston Villa are tailed off at bottom of the Premier League for a reason. They have only won once since their win at Bournemouth on the opening weekend, at home to Crystal Palace 9 days ago, and they have only picked up 2 points from a possible 30 on the road.

The Baggies have not lost in 5 against Villa, winning 2 of the last 3.

A draw at 21/10 is the value bet here although that will be no good for Villa who will chase the game if they have to and they can be backed at 29/10.

West Ham v Man City, Saturday 5:30
West Ham will be popular at 17/4 to beat Manchester City at Upton Park on Saturday evening. Prior to their late comeback win at Watford, City had gone 6 games without a win away from home. They do have Sergio Aguero back to form and he is 7/10 to score for a 5th time in the last 8 matches against The Hammers.

West Ham are unbeaten in 8 at home and although clear outsiders here, are surely better value at 17/4 than City at 4/6.

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Everton v Swansea, Sunday 1:30
Everton begin Super Sunday against Swansea and in 21 meetings have won 13 and drawn the other 8. They are likely to be heavily supported at 4/6 to continue this great run on Sunday. Swansea had a huge win at home to Watford on Monday but have really struggled on the road this season winning just 1 in 11 and despite this season producing so many shocks, it is hard to see one here.

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Arsenal v Chelsea, Sunday 4pm
It is a remarkable 8 hours and 2 minutes since Arsenal have scored against Chelsea with 3 of the last 4 home games against The Blues finishing 0-0. You can get 7/4 on a goalless first half on Sunday while a 4th 0-0 in 5 games is over the odds at 17/2.

Arsenal will look to recent impressive home performances which has seen them win 7 of the last 9 at The Emirates drawing two and conceding just 4 goals.

It has been a season to forget for Chelsea so far but they will have their backers at 13/5 to dent The Gunners’ title charge but another tight game looks likely.

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*Prices correct at time of publication




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