Seeley’s Selections – Sunday’s Live Football
It might be Grand National weekend in the racing but it’s Derby Day in the Premier League on Sunday with two huge matches at the top and bottom of the table.
QPR v Chelsea, 1.30pm, Sky Sports 1
The first game of another Super Sunday is the huge clash in west London between QPR and Chelsea from Loftus Road.
Chelsea start this game as the very short 2/5 favourites with BoyleSports and a month ago I would have been having lot on them, but QPR have shown some encouraging signs in recent weeks and I think this will be a lot closer than the BoyleSports odds compilers are predicting.
I can’t see the Super Hoops winning this, even at the 8/1 on offer with BoyleSports which will certainly tempt some, but I don’t think they will get beat either and a draw at a massive 4/1 with BoyleSports really does make some appeal as a point wouldn’t be a bad result for either side.
I can see QPR scoring and they look a much more attacking side now under Chris Ramsey, they’ve now scored in six of their last seven matches and at 20/21 with BoyleSports on both teams scoring, well, that looks the best bet in the whole game.
If you want bigger prices then a 1-1 draw might be for you at the 8/1 with BoyleSports, but whichever way you decide to play make sure your punting strategy in this one is all about the draw and a score draw.
Diego Costa is missing for Chelsea, which is a blow for the odds-on backers but it does make the first goalscorer market a lot more interesting.
Chelsea have scored the first goal in 12 of their 15 away Premier League games and a Chelsea player does look the best bet in that market with Eden Hazard the obvious choice at the 4/1 and hopefully the Belgian international scores inside the opening 20 minutes to land the “Double Bubble” bonus.
I also like QPR’s Charlie Austin to score at anytime in the 90 minutes at the 23/10 with BoyleSports. Austin has scored 45 per cent of Rangers’ goals this season and if QPR score he is the only man to get it for them.
Draw @ 4/1
Both Teams To Score – Yes @ 20/21
Eden Hazard First Goalscorer @ 4/1 (8/1 Double Bubble)
Charlie Austin Anytime Goalscorer @ 23/10
Manchester United v Manchester City, 4pm, Sky Sports 1
The big game of this Premier League weekend is the Manchester derby between Man Utd and Man City at Old Trafford at 4pm. This game has the potential to be a classic and I really can’t see these two leaving us disappointed.
United are BoyleSports’ 13/8 favourites to win this and the money has come for them, but on current form that’s not short enough and they still look a very decent bet.
Louis Van Gaal’s side are flying after a shaky start and have now lost just two games in their last 13 matches and against a City side struggling both on and off the field and they look one of the bets of the weekend for me.
The Red Devils are flying at Old Trafford and they are making the place a fortress again after five consecutive home wins.
All is not well in the blue half of the city and Manuel Pellegrini, “Audrey Roberts”, looks a dead man walking following their 2-1 defeat at Crystal Palace on Monday night.
City captain Vincent Kompany has been quoted this week as saying “This is the best time to face United”, Vincent are you for real?
City have now all but lost their Premier League crown after five defeats in their last seven games and there is no case to be made for the champions at the 9/5 with BoyleSports, regardless of what Kompany thinks.
City backers will point to their recent record in this fixture where they’ve won the last four league games, but no team has EVER beaten Man Utd five successive times and I can’t see it starting in this one.
Goals are always on the Sunday lunchtime menu when these two meet and I can see them serving up a Sunday treat again.
35 goals have been scored in the last nine meetings between the pair and Over 2.5 in the game at 4/5 with BoyleSports looks banker bet material. As does Both Teams To Score which has been a winner in six of those meetings and at 8/13 with BoyleSports that makes some appeal, but not as much as the Over 2.5 goals.
With goals expected and a lot of high scoring recent meetings I’m taking United to win this 3-2 at a monster 22/1 with BoyleSports.
Sergio Aguero is having a lean time in front of goal, but the Argentinian loves playing United and his scored four goals in his last three Premier League games against them and he will be popular at BoyleSports 9/2 to score the opener again on Sunday.
It’s no surprise to me that United’s recent good run has occurred now that Wayne Rooney is playing as on out-and-out striker and the England captain would be my choice at 11/2 with BoyleSports to score the first goal, especially as he takes all free-kicks and penalties and in what could be a fiery meeting that is something I’m very keen to have on my side.
Man Utd @ 13/8
Over 2.5 Goals @ 4/5
Correct Score 3-2 @ 22/1
Rooney First Goalscorer @ 11/2 (11/1 Double Bubble)