Seeley’s Selections – Bolton v Liverpool – FA Cup Fourth RoundStats
Bolton v Liverpool
What are the BBC thinking of? Why oh why are they putting the licence payer through another Bolton v Liverpool clash?
Whoever chooses the live TV matches for the beeb should be sacked immediately after their decisions in this FA Cup fourth round. This round will go down in history as one of the best in the competition’s 143 year history, but not if you’ve been watching on the BBC with just ONE goal scored in their three chosen matches and trust me, it won’t be any better in this one.
Liverpool make the short trip here as BoyleSports’ 11/20 favourites and with just one loss in their last 18 matches, you can see why and they will be very popular, as they always are, with BoyleSports clients for this one. The Reds are in great shape at the moment and after a shaky start, arrive here as the in-form team in the Premier League and unlike previous seasons, really want to win this trophy.
Stephen Gerrard is dreaming of an emotional end to his Liverpool career by lifting the trophy at Wembley and it’s no surprise to see them amongst the Cup favourites at 6/1 with a match at Crystal Palace awaiting the winner.
But, before we get carried away, looking ahead to Cup finals, this isn’t going to be easy against a Bolton side who are in great form themselves and you would be a right 24-carat plonker if you think the Trotters will be rolled over in this one. Neil Lennon took over at the Macron with his side at the foot of the Championship table and after an impressive run of two losses in their last 15 matches and without a home defeat since October, they should be a lot closer in the betting than BoyleSports’ offer of 5/1.
Bolton were held at home at the weekend to Wolves and that was their third home draw in their last four matches and with Liverpool drawing their last away game at Chelsea (in 90-minutes), another stalemate is on the cards for me in this one at BoyleSports’ 16/5.
Brendan Rodgers’ team in three of their last four away matches have seen both teams failing to score and with those matches seeing under 2.5 goals, both of those look worthy of a play in this one at 20/21 and 21/20 with BoyleSports.
It really wouldn’t surprise me to see another 0-0 draw and no goalscorer at 10/1 with BoyleSports makes a lot of appeal as a decent outsider. The weather is going to be sub-zero on Wednesday and unless Daniel Sturridge features, which I can’t imagine with a Champions League place up for grabs in the Premier League, then I can’t see Mario Balotelli or Fabio Borini fancying this one at all.
I really can see this going all the way to a penalty shoot-out and at 13/1 on a Liverpool win by that method, that’s another bet I like and you can just see Stevie G keeping his dream of lifting a final trophy at Wembley for the Reds alive with the winning spot-kick.
Draw @ 16/5
Both Teams To Score – No @ 20/21
Under 2.5 Goals @ 21/20
No Goalscorer @ 10/1
Method of Victory – Liverpool on Penalties @ 13/1