Seeley’s Selections – Saturday’s Live Football Tips
When I first looked at the weekend’s opening live Premier League game on Saturday on this week’s BoyleSports’ BetZone I could only make a case for the home side Leicester when they entertain Newcastle at the King Power.
Now after a longer look at the game, I’m not so sure.
The Foxes have given themselves a great chance of survival after winning four of their last five matches with their only defeat in that period Wednesday night’s 3-1 home defeat to Chelsea.
After that defeat against the champions-elect manager Nigel Pearson went a bit “nuts” and he needs to be back in control at the KP if they are to get maximum points from this one.
Pearson looks set to be without key defender Robert Huth and Andy King for this trip and after a good think on it, those losses are putting me off backing the home side at the odds-on quote of 20/21 with BoyleSports.
Newcastle, though, well they are in totally shocking form having lost their last seven matches and have been heavily backed in the last few weeks for the drop with BoyleSports; defeat again in this one will see their odds tumble even more.
The Geordies, though, just can’t be backed with anybody’s cash even at a massive 16/5 with BoyleSports; three months ago I would have snapped your hands off for that price but today, well, it’s not for me.
The Newcastle players, fans and departing manager John Carver, just seem to have given up and they can’t be trusted to put in a shift in if you are investing in them.
The draw though at the 13/5 with BoyleSports does look a bit of value with with major question marks about both sides coming into this one.
The best way to play for me after a lot of thought is on the goals market, or a major lack of them.
10 of the last 11 matches between these two strugglers has seen less than three goals scored and at 10/11 with BoyleSports on that goal shy trend to continue with the game featuring under 2.5 goals looking the call.
In seven of the last nine meetings either none or one goal has been scored and again at 13/5 with BoyleSports on under 1.5 goals being scored, that also looks value.
In two of the last four meetings at Leicester only three goals have been scored and two ended goalless; after a long, hard think about it the 17/2 for no goalscorer in the match, well that looks a great bet in a game which isn’t expected to be a classic.
Draw @ 13/5
Under 2.5 Goals @ 10/11
Under 1.5 Goals @ 13/5
No Goalscorer @ 17/2
Man United v West Brom, Sky Sports 1, 5:30pm
The Saturday evening Premier League match looks a pretty straight forward one to find a winner when Man Utd host West Brom at Old Trafford.
United WILL win this game, of that I’m certain, I won’t be backing them though at the prices.
You are going to have to be a very, very big hitter to make any money or even contemplate backing Louis Van Gaal side at the 4/11 available with BoyleSports in this one.
After a shaky start to his reign at Old Trafford Van Gaal’s side are on the verge of making the Champions League and a win will all but secure that.
The main reason for their turnaround is their Premier League form at Old Trafford, where they’ve won their last six matches and there is no doubt in my mind they will make that a lucky seven on Saturday evening.
The best way to get with the home side though is to back the Red Devils to win to nil which is a great bet at 11/10 with BoyleSports..
West Brom have failed to score in 10 of their last 13 visits to Old Trafford and they won’t score in this one of that I’m sure.
The Baggies are 9/1 with BoyleSport to get a win, but with nothing really to play for they are to be avoided, despite a victory in this one last year.
West Brom did win this game last season, but that was the first time in their last 21 league visits that they’ve won at Old Trafford – they won’t be celebrating again on Saturday evening.
United have failed to score in their last two Premier League games against Chelsea and Everton and the last time they failed to net in three consecutive games was back in August 2007.
The will end that failure in front of goal on Saturday and I really like the 15/2 with BoyleSports on them to win by another comfortable 3-0 success.
Wayne Rooney is the man when United face West Brom and the United skipper is 3/1 with BoyleSports to open the scoring and that just has to be backed.
Rooney has scored in each of his last six Premier League starts against West Brom (seven goals in total) and with 15 goals in his last 16 games at Old Trafford; the 11/10 on him to score at anytime in the match also is a great wager.
REMEMBER BoyleSports will double the odds on your first goalscorer winning selection if your player nets inside the opening 20 minutes in all Premier League games this weekend and with a comfortable success expected an early Rooney goal will make the Bank Holiday weekend a very profitable one.
Man United To Win To Nil @ 11/10
Correct Score Man United 3-0 @ 15/2
Wayne Rooney First Goalscorer @ 3/1
Wayne Rooney Anytime Goalscorer @ 11/10