Angus ‘Statto’ Loughran – Premier League Stats & Analysis
Chelsea have been pushed out to Evens by BoyleSports to beat Liverpool in the live Saturday lunchtime clash at Stamford Bridge after their midweek League Cup defeat to Stoke
Chelsea v Liverpool, Saturday 31st October, 12.45pm
Jose Mourinho has lost 6 of his last 12 league games as Chelsea boss having previously taken 64 matches to lose the same number. Chelsea are unbeaten in their last 6 Premier League matches against Liverpool who have not won in their last 5 visits to London and there will be plenty tempted to back the home side at Evens.
Saturday 3pm Kick-Offs
Two bets stand out in the 3pm kicks offs on Saturday, Manchester United at 21/20 at Crystal Palace being the first. United have never lost to Palace in the Premier League, have won the last 4 and 10 out of the last 12, with the other two draws. Despite a much improved run by Palace under Alan Pardew it has been the away form rather than that at Selhurst Park which stands out and I expect a United victory.
Watford have a woeful record against West Ham winning only one of the last 22 meetings and losing an incredible 17 times.
The Hammers are playing some great stuff at present and have already won 4 times on the road this season. I am staggered they are 2/1 here although they have been hard to predict, but they are surely the value.
Newcastle may have lost to Sunderland last Sunday but are value to bounce back with 3 points against Stoke at 6/4. Peter Crouch will be a popular bet here at 11/4 to score at anytime as he netted in both matches between these two last season.
Swansea did the double over both Manchester United and Arsenal last season and have already beaten Manchester United at The Liberty at the end of August. This time round at 19/4 they are a sporting price against The Gunners who may have one eye on next week’s trip to Munich.
On Sunday Everton face Sunderland in a fixture that has yielded just 7 goals in the last 5 encounters and on that basis alone the 21/20 on two goals or less looks the value play. Everton are short enough at 4/9 while Sunderland, who have won the last two meetings between the two at Goodison, can be backed at 13/2. Roberto Martinez has won 5 of his 6 managerial clashes with Sam Allardyce including the last 4.
Southampton and Bournemouth have never met outside the 3rd tier of English Football and in 8 previous meetings at home the Saints have won six. I expect them to win comfortably on Sunday at St Mary’s.
Tottenham v Aston Villa, Sunday 2nd November, 8pm
Tottenham are still the only top flight club not to have lost since opening day when they were unlucky to lose to Manchester United at Old Trafford and they should extend that run on Monday against a Villa side who badly need a result themselves and have parted company with Tim Sherwood who would have relished a return to White Hart Lane!
*Prices correct at time of publication