Cheltenham Big Race Predictions & Tips From Paul Carberry
We have Cheltenham big race predictions for you from legendary Irish National Hunt jockey Paul Carberry who won 14 times at the Cheltenham Festival.
Carberry is one of the finest jockeys Ireland has ever produced and in addition to his success at the Cheltenham Festival he is also a Grand National winning jockey. In other words, when he speaks about the upcoming Cheltenham Festival you listen closely.
We asked Carberry to talk us through his predictions and thoughts on the big races at this year’s festival and you can see all his tips below!
Supreme Novices’ Hurdle
I think Willie Mullins is definitely going to be hard to beat in this race. Facile Vega should be ok, he did go off very fast last time out, it looked like that gave him a problem. He should be pretty fresh for this one and is the machine that Willie thinks he is.
It’s Irish dominated anyway, he has a good few in it, there’s Marine Nationale too. Facile Vega should still do it.
Supreme Novices’ Hurdle Prediction: Facile Vega
I was very happy with Jonbon’s last two runs, from what I saw anyway. El Fabiolo was very good at Leopardstown at the Dublin Racing Festival. Jonbon would have been a fine winner of the Supreme last year had Constitution Hill not been in it, so he has some good form.
I’ll stick with Jonbon for this one.
The Arkle Prediction: Jonbon
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Constitution Hill has got to win it and from what he has done so far it is very hard seeing him not winning it. He just looks like a total freak of a horse, he has a serious engine, quick and slick. Even if he only half shows up, I think he will still win.
He’ll have too much for State Man, who is a lovely big horse and has shown plenty. He looks more of a chaser to me though.
Champion Hurdle Prediction: Constitution Hill
I think Honeysuckle going to the Mares’ Hurdle is definitely the right move. She’s won the last couple of Champion Hurdles at Cheltenham but she’s been lucky in a way that there were not all these other good horses around then such as superstars like Constitution Hill.
She’s a very tough mare, she’s won the Hatton’s Grace a couple of times over here so I think it was the right decision to go for the Mares’ Hurdle. Hopefully she will win it and then retire after that and ride off into the sunset.
It is a hot race, though. Brandy Love will have come on from her last run, it won’t be a walkover for Honeysuckle.
Mares’ Hurdle Prediction: Honeysuckle
Imperial Et Passe, he has a great chance in that. The two rivals at the top of the market, Imperial Et Passe and Hermes Allen, are the two to beat and I am sure Paul Nicholls will want to be getting a winner on the board with Hermes Allen in that one.
Ballymore Prediction: Hermes Allen
Gerri Colombe looks the one to beat here for Gordon Elliott, he was fairly good last time out.
He’s the one sticking out to me, Mighty Potter ran well at Leopardstown but Gerri Colombe is the one for me.
Prediction: Gerri Colombe
It’s a very strong race. Edwardstone was very unlucky last time out, he gave a good account of himself.
Gentleman De Mee could be one to keep an eye on good ground; at 10/1 he’d be a very good each-way price.
I think Nicky Henderson putting Shishkin in the Ryanair is a great decision. He was very good last time, that step up in trip just gave him a bit more time to get into gear, he looked back to himself.
He’ll be better from that last run as well. If Shishkin turns up, and there’s no better man than Nicky to get them right for the day, then he should get the job done. I’ll be siding with him. It’s great when you see horses bouncing back to form like he did.
Ryanair Chase Prediction: Shishkin
Blazing Khal is probably the one to watch out for in this one. Teahupoo will probably want softer ground, Flooring Porter hasn’t had the greatest preparation but I absolutely wouldn’t rule him out.
He seems to be in good form and he’ll certainly have a good crack at it.
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Lossiemouth is a real chance for Willie Mullins. The three and four-year-olds don’t seem to be as strong in England as they are in Ireland.
It’s going to again be Mullins dominated but you can’t get away from that.
Cheltenham Gold Cup
Galopin Des Champs is a horse I have loved ever since I first saw him going over fences, he’s really impressed me. He was unlucky last year when he fell at the Festival but he’s the young pretender and looks like the proper article for a Gold Cup.
The others can give him a good race, like Noble Yeats, A Plus Tard and Bravemansgame, Stattler for Willie Mullins can be thrown in there as well, they are all out and out stayers whereas Galopin Des Champs is more of a relentless galloper.
Galopin Des Champs can just get into a rhythm and stay on at the end. He’ll get the trip and so if he stays, he wins for me.
Cheltenham Gold Cup Prediction: Galopin Des Champs
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