Dublin v Mayo Prediction Blog Header Image – All-Ireland Quarter-Final 2023

Dublin v Mayo Prediction, Preview & Odds – All-Ireland Quarter-Final

We have a Dublin v Mayo prediction for you along with all the betting odds as two old foes go head-to-head in an All-Ireland quarter-final.

How To Watch Dublin v Mayo

When? 4pm, Sunday, July 2nd

Where? Croke Park, Dublin

TV Channel: RTÉ 2

Dublin v Mayo Preview

Dublin’s Form

League Form

After suffering a shock relegation from Division 1 in the 2022 National League Dublin played their football in Division 2 this season.

Many expected Dublin to cruise through Division 2 this spring but in truth they didn’t have it all their own way at times. The Dubs had a few shaky performances along the way but in the end they did enough to book a Division 2 final spot. Their record in the league from 7 games played was 6 wins and 1 loss with a points differential of +30. That lone loss came at the hands of Derry in Celtic Park.

Dublin would get a chance to avenge that defeat as it was Derry who were the opposition in the Division 2 final on April 2nd in Croke Park. Despite an underwhelming first half effort which saw the Boys in Blue trail by 2 points at the break they were able to blitz Derry in the second half to secure the Division 2 title.

It was as if the Dubs just flicked a switch in that second half as they tore a highly touted Derry defence asunder for four goals.

Overall, it was a successful league campaign for Dublin although if you were being critical you would say that they didn’t play up to the standards that we’ve come to expect of them at times. Division 1 football awaits next season.

Championship Form

Dublin won their 13th consecutive Leinster title this May in what has become akin to a procession in the east.

Their first outing saw them trash Laois on a scoreline of 4-30 to 2-09. There’s not really much to take from that result except that Dublin are a class apart from Laois.

Their biggest test came in the semi-final where they faced Kildare who they only managed to beat by a single point in this year’s National League. The Lilywhites pushed Dublin all the way and had every chance at winning that game. The Dubs only took the lead for the first time in the game after 60 minutes but they managed to do just enough to run out 2-point winners.

Louth were the opposition in the Leinster Final and they offered little resistance as Dublin cruised to a 5-21 to 0-15 win and another Leinster title.

The Dubs were drawn in Group 3 of the novel All-Ireland group stage along with Kildare, Roscommon and Sligo.

In their first outing they struggled mightily against Roscommon in Croke Park. The Rossies led by 4 points at half-time in a game that Dublin went into as heavy favourites. The Dubs did manage to rally back to draw the game in the end but not before Roscommon had the chance to steal it with a 50 metre free with the last kick of the game.

That performance against Roscommon put more question marks around this Dublin team and what we should expect from them this summer. To be fair to Dessie Farrell’s men they did bounce back from that draw by comfortably beating Kildare and then sweeping Sligo aside to top the group and advance to the All-Ireland quarter-final.

They now face old foes Mayo in the marquee matchup of this year’s All-Ireland quarter-finals with a spot in the semi-final on the line.

Mayo’s Form

League Form

Mayo were the form team in Ireland this spring as they won their first National League title since 2019. They got off to a slow start with two opening round draws against Galway and Armagh but quickly found their stride after that with four straight wins.

That run of form meant they had topped the group and qualified for the final with a game to spare (which they would lose to Monaghan).

The key to Mayo’s success in the league was their attacking firepower as they scored 126 points over the seven games for an average of 18 points per game to be the top scoring team in Division 1. For context, Mayo scored 13 more points than the next highest scoring team which is a testament to how strong they were going forward.

The westerners would go on to beat their rivals (and opponents this weekend) Galway in the league final to cap off a great start to life under new manager Kevin McStay.

Championship Form

Mayo drew the short straw early on in this Championship season as they had to play Roscommon in the first round of the Connacht championship only seven days after their league final victory. Roscommon ambushed Mayo that day as they scored two goals which proved to be crucial on a windy day in Castlebar.

In truth, that loss didn’t really do much (if any) damage to Mayo’s Championship ambitions. In fact, it might have even helped them as they enjoyed a six-week break until their next game which came against.Kerry in Killarney.

Very few people expected Mayo to win down in Killarney, a place where Kerry hadn’t lost a Championship game since 1995 but that is exactly what they did. The most shocking part about that win for Mayo was the margin of it which was five points in the end.

The expectation after that victory was that Kevin McStay’s side would coast to top spot in the group as they would go into their remaining two games as heavy favourites against Louth and Cork. However, Mayo, in typical Mayo fashion, scraped over the line against Louth before going on to blow a six point second-half lead against Cork. Never boring, as always.

These two poor performances meant that Mayo finished third behind Kerry and Cork on points difference and had the unenviable task of travelling to Salthill needing a win to keep their Championship hopes alive.

Kevin McStay’s team were hampered by a strong headwind in the first half of that game against Galway but managed to do enough to stay in touch with the Tribesmen who had a 5-point lead at the break. Mayo used the wind to great advantage in the second half and it was a crucial goal by full-back David McBrien that proved decisive as they held on for a one-point win in Pearse Stadium.

That victory not only booked a quarter-final date with Dublin in Croke Park but also knocked out rivals and fellow All-Ireland contenders Galway.

Key Players To Watch

Con O’Callaghan

What is there to say about Con O’Callaghan that hasn’t already been said. One of the very best forwards in the modern game who burst onto the scene as a fresh faced 21-year-old in 2017. The Cuala clubman was a crucial part of Dublin’s All-Ireland success that year with a goal against Mayo in the opening seconds of that year’s final proving decisive.

The now 27-year-old has remained a pivotal part of the Dublin squad ever since then and is back playing some of his best football this year. Expect to see O’Callaghan deployed in the full-forward line in this game where he will likely be marked by Mayo’s David McBrien. Last time out against Sligo O’Callaghan racked up 1-05 from play and he also put up 0-04 against Kildare in the game before that.

Mayo know all too well about the dynamism that the Dublin full-forward possesses and you can be sure that Kevin McStay’s first order of business once the draw was announced was figuring out a way to slow the Cuala forward down.

Aidan O’Shea

One of the best gaelic footballers of the last decade. O’Shea has long been one of the most polarising figures in the game with many criticising him for having too many games where he is kept quiet in a Mayo jersey.

This season O’Shea cuts the figure of a man that has been rejuvenated after his switch back into the full-forward line. The Breaffy man had been playing his football mainly from the centre-forward and midfield positions in recent years but now he is being played much closer to goal in the full-forward line.

While Mayo have used the long ball to O’Shea sparingly in this year’s championship it is always a danger that opposition defences have to be aware of. The Breaffy man was critical last week to Mayo’s victory over Galway as he assisted David McBrien’s goal with a perfectly weighted handpass to put McBrien in on goal.

Dublin v Mayo Head-To-Head Results

Dublin 0-12 2-11 Mayo | 2022 National League

Mayo 0-17 0-14 Dublin (A.E.T) | 2021 All-Ireland Semi-Final

Dublin 2-14 0-15 Mayo | 2020 All-Ireland Final

Mayo 0-08 1-11 Dublin | 2020 National League

Dublin 3-14 1-10 Mayo | 2019 All-Ireland Semi-Final

The recent trends in the storied Dublin v Mayo rivalry make for interesting reading. Dublin have won three of the last five meetings between these two sides including an All-Ireland final. On that account Dublin have had the upper hand.

However, from a Mayo perspective you can take hope from the fact that the westerners have won the last two meetings between these teams including an incredible comeback in the 2021 All-Ireland semi-final which was the last Championship meeting between these two sides.

Dublin v Mayo Betting Odds

Dublin – 8/13

Mayo – 7/4

Draw – 13/2

Handicap – Dublin -2

Dublin go into this All-Ireland quarter-final as favourites at 8/13 in the match betting market. That means Mayo are underdogs with the westerners priced up at 7/4.

If you fancy this game to end in a draw after 70 minutes you can back that at odds of 13/2.

Dublin v Mayo Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Dublin 2-15 Mayo 1-16

Two of the best teams in the country who were both a little unlucky to draw each other at this stage of the Championship. I think Dublin just have that bit more about them up front which I’m predicting will be enough to see them win this game in a close contest.

Best Bet: Dublin to score 1st goal @ Evens

Click Below For All Our Dublin v Mayo Odds

Dublin v Mayo Odds - All-Ireland Quarter-Final 2023

*Prices subject to fluctuation

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