England v Samoa Prediction post blog header image – 2023 Rugby World Cup

England v Samoa Prediction, Preview & Odds – Rugby World Cup

We have an England v Samoa prediction along with the betting odds for you ahead of the final round of fixtures in Pool D.

How To Watch England v Samoa

When? 4.45 pm, Saturday, 7th October

Where? Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

TV Channel? ITV 1 and RTÉ 2

England v Samoa Odds

England v Samoa Betting Odds – Rugby World Cup
Team Odds Chance
England 1/25 96.2%
Samoa 9/1 10%
The Draw 80/1 1.2%

England are the heavy favourites ahead of this game at 1/25 in the match betting. Samoa have been priced up at 9/1 while the draw can be backed at giant odds of 80/1.

Handicap Betting

England: -22 @ 10/11

Samoa: +22 @ 10/11

Handicap Draw: -22 @ 18/1

Click Below For Our LIVE England v Samoa Odds

England v Samoa Betting Odds - 2023 Rugby World Cup

England v Samoa Preview

England’s Form

World Number 6 England entered this tournament in poor form, finishing fourth in the most recent Six Nations campaign with only two wins to their three defeats. That extended their poor run of form in the competition since their 2020 success they’ve come fifth in 2021 and third in 2022 as well.

Steve Borthwick has only been Head Coach since it was announced on the 19th of December that he would be replacing Eddie Jones at the helm.

In the first of their World Cup warm-ups, they had a disappointing 20-9 defeat against out-of-form Wales. However, England avenged that a week later claiming a narrow 19-17 home victory. But their final two warm-up matches were defeats, 29-10 against Ireland and most shockingly a 22-30 defeat against Fiji.

England in their opening Pool D fixture despite their critics claimed a 27-10 victory over Argentina which puts them in pole position to win the group after a flying George Ford put in a fine display with twenty-seven points. England followed that up with a mundane performance against Japan, but they got it done with a 34-12 victory

A rotated English side demolished Chile 71-0 in their next Pool Stage game to confirm themselves as Pool D winners. Having confirmed qualification with their rotated side last time out it’ll be interesting to see how England experimented against the Samoans, I suspect they could use this to test the Ford at 10 and Farrell at centre theory.

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Samoa’s Form

World Number 12 Samoa are making their ninth appearance at a World Cup, having previously made the Quarter-Final in 1991 and 1995. Seilala Mapusua has been the Head coach since being appointed in August 2020, and they qualified for the World Cup by winning Round 2: Oceania 1 play-offs 79-28 in Leg 1 and 15-37 in Leg 2.

During their warm-up for the tournament, they lost 19-33 to Fiji and won 34-9 against Tonga and lost to Ireland 17-13

In their opening Pool game against Chile, they had a comprehensive win 43-10 against Chile which may have them harbouring hopes of getting out of the Pool again. However, following narrow defeats against Argentina 19-10 and Japan 28-22, they’re going to know that unless they beat England and there is a draw in the other game, they’re going home again.

Key To Watch

The George Ford/Owen Farell conundrum

Entering the tournament, the absence of Farrell through suspension was one of the main stories coming into the camp for England. However, following his magical display against Argentina in their first-round match where he kicked all of their points in a 27-10 win with three drop goals the question changed further.

He played his part again against Japan in their 34-12 win hitting 4/4 conversions and 2/3 penalties. Farrell returned at (10) for a rotated England against Chile and made 8/11 conversion attempts.

The talk is Ford will play at (10) and Farrell will be moved elsewhere but that is the main talking point coming into the weekend.

Duncan Paia’aua

The New Zealand-born Centre/Fullback Duncan (28) plays his club rugby in the Top-14 with Toulon so it’s no surprise that he is a player of tremendous ability having also represented Australia at U20 level; back in 2015. He already has tries in this tournament against Chile and Japan.

England v Samoa Rugby Results

England have won all of their eight games against Samoa including at the 1995, 2003 and 2007 World Cups.

They last met during the 2017 Autumn International Series at Twickenham, with England winning 48-14.

England v Samoa Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: England 35-7 Samoa

England should win this one very comfortably, but it’ll be interesting to see how they experiment and rotate

Samoa must win to stand any chance of pool-stage qualification

Best Bet: First-Half England To Win Both Halves By 11-Points @ 5/2

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England v Samoa Odds Price Boosts - 2023 Rugby World Cup

*Prices subject to fluctuation

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