Irish Coalition Will Crumble Next Year Say Latest Odds

A general election is now more likely to take place next year than any other year in the next five after the odds on the government collapsing shrunk last week.

Micheál Martin’s short reign as Taoiseach has been plagued by controversies with the resignation of two Agriculture Ministers coming against the backdrop of a slump for his party in the opinion polls.

The chances of a general election before the end of 2020 have plummeted into just 4/1 from 12/1 with BoyleSports in the space of a fortnight, but 2021 is now the most likely year to require an election after being gambled into 5/2 from 4/1 over the weekend.

Martin’s chances of being the Taoiseach on the other side of an election are also drifting at 6/1 from 5/1.

Leo Varadkar and Mary Lou McDonald are vying for favouritism at 6/5 and 13/8 respectively.

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