Newcastle v Man City Prediction, Preview & Odds – Premier League

We have a Newcastle v Man City prediction for you plus a breakdown of the odds and matchups ahead of this massive Premier League clash.

How To Watch Newcastle v Man City

When is Newcastle v Man City?

Man City v Newcastle will take place on Saturday at 5.30 pm in the Premier League’s evening kick-off.

TV Channel

Newcastle v Man City will be broadcast on TNT Sports 1 to viewers in the UK and Ireland.

Live Stream

In the UK and Ireland you can live stream Newcastle v Man City on Discovery+. Subscription required.

Where is Newcastle v Man City Being Played?

Newcastle are at home so this fixture will be played at their home ground St James’ Park in Newcastle, England.

Newcastle v Man City Odds

Newcastle are 9/2 underdogs for this game despite having home advantage.

Man City are the 11/20 favourites according to the latest Premier League odds at BoyleSports to make it three wins on the spin in the league. The draw is priced up at 16/5.

Handicap Betting

Newcastle: +1 @ 7/5

Man City: -1 @ 7/5

Handicap Draw: +1 @ 13/5

Click Below For Our LIVE Newcastle v Man City Odds

Newcastle v Man City Weather Forecast

The weather is forecast to be between 5 degrees with no rain.

Newcastle v Man City Preview

Newcastle’s Form

The good feeling around Newcastle has fallen off of late with a squad riddled with injuries and suspensions. They have now lost 4 of their last 5 league games and the pressure is piling on Eddie Howe. That being said, they have shown St James’ Park to be a fortress at times for the club and a victory here could bring them up to 7th place in the table.

Last time out brought back some positivity to the club too with a 0-3 win over bitter rivals Sunderland at the Stadium of Light last Saturday in the FA Cup 3rd Round following a Ballard own goal and a brace from Isak. It was nothing more than they deserved after having 65% of possession and doubling their opponent’s shot tally with 10.

Newcastle’s 39-goal total gives them the 5th-best attack in the league, but remarkably they should arguably have more having created an XG of 43.62. Their defence is another story, their 29 goals conceded means they have the 7th best defence from an XGA of 33.92.

The Expected Points total for the Magpies has them 5th in the table which suggests that their performances are better than their actual league position.

Newcastle’s Last Five Results

Sunderland 0-3 Newcastle | January 6th | Win

Liverpool 4-2 Newcastle | January 1st | Loss

Newcastle 1-3 Nottingham Forest | December 26th | Loss

Luton Town 1-0 Newcastle | December 23rd | Loss

Chelsea 1-1 Newcastle (4-2 penalties) | December 19th | Draw

1 Win, 3 Loses and 1 Draw

Man City’s Form

Man City are quietly going about their business in the league and with 10 points from their last four league games, they remain well in touch at the top with also a game in hand over those around them. Pep Guardiola’s side remain a serious contender for their 4th successive league title.

At the weekend Man City had a comprehensive 5-0 victory over Huddersfield in the FA Cup 3rd Round through a Foden Brace, Alvarez goal, an own-goal and a Doku finish. In that match, they had 18 shots to their opponents 2 along with 84% of possession. You can expect Newcastle to provide a much sterner test come the weekend than Huddersfield did.

Man City unsurprisingly are the highest scorers in the league this season with 45 goals from 19 matches and an XG total of 42.79 proving that there are some elite finishers in this Man City squad.

In contrast, they have also the 3rd meanest defence having conceded 21 goals from an XGA of 18.5 (the lowest in the league). This suggests their defence is even better than statistics would have you think. 

Man City’s Last Five Results

Man City 5-0 Huddersfield | January 7th | Win

Man City 2-0 Sheffield United | December 30th | Win

Everton 1-3 Man City | December 27th | Win

Man City 4-0 Fluminense | December 22nd | Win

Urawa Reds 0-3 Man City | December 19th | Win

5 Wins

Newcastle v Man City Predicted Lineups

Newcastle Predicted Starting XI

Formation: 4-3-3

GK: Pope

RB: Trippier, CB: Lascelles, CB: Schár, LB: Burn.

 RCM: Longstaff, CM: Guimaraes; LCM: Joelinton,

RW: Almiron, CF: Isak; LW Gordon

Man City Predicted Starting XI

Formation: 4-2-3-1

GK: Ederson

RB: Walker, CB: Akanji, CB: Aké, LB: Gvardiol

CM: Kovacic, CM: Rodri

RW: Silva, AM: Foden, LW: Grealish

CF: Alvarez

Newcastle v Man City Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

Newcastle wins: 73

Man City wins: 76

Draws: 41

Head-To-Head Results Last Five Matches

Newcastle 1-0 Man City | League Cup | September 27th, 2023

Man City 1-0 Newcastle | Premier League | August 19th, 2023

Man City 2-0 Newcastle | Premier League | March 4th, 2023

Newcastle 3-3 Man City | Premier League | January 15th, 2022

Man City 5-0 Newcastle | Premier League| May 8th, 2022

Betting Trends

Goals

Coming into this game, between both teams there has been an average of 3.15 Goals Per Match this season which is slightly more than the league average of 3.11 Goals Per Match.

In historic matches, 75% have Over 1.5 Goals, 70% have Over 2.5 Goals and 50% have had BTTS.

Cards

Between both sides, they average 4.2 Cards Per Match, which is lower than the league average of 4.9 Cards Per Match.

Corners

Interestingly, these sides average 12 Corners Per Match between them which is more than the league average of 10.52 Corners Per Match.

Scoring Patterns

Newcastle’s busiest period comes in the last 15 minutes where they have scored 8 goals and have conceded 9 goals.

Man City’s busiest period comes both between the 61st-75th minute where they have scored 8 goals and conceded 7 and also the last 15 minutes where they have 9 goals scored and 6 conceded.

Key Players To Watch

Bruno Guimaraes – Newcastle

Coming into a game where Man City will be expected to dominate possession in the hopes of choking out Newcastle, key to everything in the middle of the park for them will be Brazilian Bruno Guimaraes.

Not surprisingly for a Brazilian, he is an elite dribbler and passer when compared against other central midfielders. Guimaraes’s 1.62 Successful Take-Ons Per 90 puts him in the 92nd percentile and his 7.32 Progressive Passes in the 89th percentile, making him the clubs best chance at creating chances from expected minimal chances.

The Brazilian is also solid defensively and will be expected to break up the Man City attacks, potentially through persistent fouling at times too.

Rodri – Man City

The Spaniard is integral to everything great about Man City and is arguably the best defensive midfielder in the world right now.

Since signing from Atlético Madrid in 2019, the club have won roughly 73% of their Premier League games with him in the team and 52.9% without. He was rested for their FA Cup tie against Huddersfield but you can expect he will be key to the City charge these next few months starting Saturday.

His 98 Passes Attempted and 92% Pass completion puts him in the 99th percentile showing he is safe in possession along with his world class defensive positioning. Not only is he safe with the ball though, he breaks the lines with his passing often, averaging 9.29 Progressive Passes Per 90 which puts him in the 97th percentile for all midfielders.

Newcastle v Man City Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Newcastle 0-2 Man City

Newcastle have been in free fall in recent weeks, exacerbated from their injury and suspension riddled squad. However, they’ve shown themselves to be a force at home at times and are arguably more suited to the bigger occasions than the so-called smaller teams right now.

Man City and Guardiola are exactly where they want to be, flying under the radar and yet a win at the weekend along with other results going their way and they could be within touching distance of the top with a game in hand against their immediate rivals.

I’m not expecting Newcastle to concede a lot of goals, but I still think City should have far too much for them come the weekend.

Best Bet: Man City Win + Under 2.5 Goals @ 10/3

Click Below For Our LIVE Newcastle v Man City Odds

*Prices subject to fluctuation.

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