Next Premier League Manager to leave their Post Odds

In this post, we look at the most likely Premier League managers to leave their post odds and prediction as the season hots up.

The life of a Premier League manager can be tenuous at the best of times. Managers are under constant pressure to perform and deliver results for their perspective clubs and if you don’t your position is likely to become untenable quickly.

That’s’ the nature of modern football, no job is safe and you’re only as good as your last decent result. 9/20 current coaches currently less than a year into their tenure.  In the 23/24 season, 14 coaches lost their job with Chelsea sacking three Tuchel, Potter, and Saltor. This broke the previous record of 10 which occurred in 08/09, 13/14, 17/18, and 21/22.

Last season Scott Parker was sacked in August becoming the first manager to leave in that month in-season for 18 years with the first manager usually leaving around October particularly during the International Break and more often than not it is a promoted club that pulls the trigger first.

Sean Dyche – 10/3

Dyche is joint-favourite to be the first Premier League manager casualty of the season after Everton lost their first two games of the season 0-1 against Fulham and 4-0 against Aston Villa he has been cut from 8/1 to 10/3 to be sacked.

Dyche was only appointed as Everton coach six months ago replacing Frank Lampard and being tasked with guiding Everton to safety. In his first game in charge, Everton defeated then-league leaders Arsenal 1–0. Despite that results were mixed, but Dyche did guide them to safety.

They’ve only brought in two names during the summer, Ashley Young and Youssef Chermiti but it remains to be seen if that is enough. In the lead-up to the dreaded October, they face Wolves, Sheffield United, Arsenal, Brentford, and Luton. I suspect Dyche wins enough points in those fixtures to stay for now.

Avoid

Paul Heckingbottom – 10/3

Paul Heckingbottom is also given a 10/3 chance following two narrow defeats for newly-promoted Sheffield United 0-1 against Crystal Palace and 2-1 against Sheffield United. They have a much stiffer next weekend facing reigning Champions Manchester City.

Heckingbottom was initially appointed as U23 lead coach at the club in July 2020, but following Chris Wilder leaving by mutual consent in March 2021, with the team bottom of the Premier League and 12 points adrift of safety, Heckingbottom took interim charge until the end of the season.

Sheffield United were relegated and he wasn’t given the job until November 2021 when he finally got the job permanently.  They were promoted last season following their second-place Championship finish. In their next five league games they face Manchester City, Everton, Tottenham, Newcastle, and West Ham. I think this could be one to watch.

Best Bet

David Moyes- 6/1

A lot is going on behind the scenes at West Ham, with the loss of Declan Rice and alleged recruitment issues Moyes has been as short as 7/2 to be the first sacking of the season before the campaign.

I personally never understood this despite a poor league season last year and problems, Moyes also guided them to a Europa Conference League success and has a proven pedigree. West Ham have four points from their opening two games a 1-1 draw against Bournemouth and a 3-1 win against Chelsea.

Their next five league matches are Brighton, Luton, Manchester City, Liverpool and Sheffield United. However, there is no chance he is the first manager sacked.

Avoid

Rob Edwards – 8/1

Edwards could have gotten as high as 16/1 before the start of the season, however, they got a dose of reality in their first game of the season being hammered 4-1 against Brighton.

Luton overcame the odds last season with their Championship playoff success over Coventry, and I think people are underestimating their prospects this season, following their hammering against Brighton but I don’t think that will define their season.

In their next five league games they have Chelsea, West Ham, Fulham, Wolves and Everton and I think they can pick up a few points in these.

Avoid

Steve Cooper – 10/1     

Steve Cooper saw his odds inflate from 9/2 to 10/1 after their 2-1 home win over Sheffield United last Friday following their 2-1 defeat against Arsenal in their opening match.

Cooper has been head coach since 21^st September 2021 on a two-year contract with Nottingham Forest bottom of the Championship. He improved results and got them promoted via playoffs. They then finished sixteenth in the Premier League last season.

Their next five league games are Manchester United, Chelsea, Burnley, Manchester City and Brentford though and Cooper will need to scramble for points and so his odds could shorten considerably.

Avoid

One to Watch…

Mauricio Pochettino – 28/1

In a reasonable, rational world, Pochettino would not be in consideration. I mean, he has been in the job “officially” for a little under two months.

Despite paying over 385 million this summer along with considerable investment last season.This will take the squad time to gel, that would be the natural assumption. But Chelsea are not a regular football club, four managers took charge of them last season which shows how chaotic the club can be.

They opened the season 1-1 against Liverpool before having a disappointing 3-1 defeat against West Ham.

In their next five league games they face Luton, Nottingham Forrest, Bournemouth, Aston Villa and Fulham. An easyish that they will expect near maximum points from hence the 28/1 price. However, that works the opposite way too. If Chelsea doesn’t pick up at least ten points from those fixtures you will see odds cut considerably.

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*Prices Subject To Fluctuation

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