Odds Narrowly Favour Boris Johnson In No Confidence Vote

Boris Johnson is still an odds-on shot to be Prime Minister on the first day of 2023 despite facing an imminent vote of no confidence in the House of Commons.

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The Prime Minister has rejected calls to resign from opposition parties and from some of his own MPs over the ‘partygate’ scandal which saw him fined for breaching lockdown rules in Number 10.

It was announced on Monday morning that a secret ballot on his leadership had been triggered after at least 54 Conservative MPs submitted no confidence letters to Sir Graham Brady, Chairman of the 1922 committee of backbench MPs.


But the latest odds are marginally in favour of Johnson, who is widely expected to survive the vote despite the rebellion from a significant number of backbench Tories.

We rate him an odds-on 8/11 shot in the betting to still be PM beyond the end of this year

…although that price had been much shorter at 1/3 just last week.

The chances of him being replaced in 2022 are slightly larger, despite being trimmed into 11/10 from 2/1 on Monday.

Former leadership candidate Jeremy Hunt, who confirmed he would be voting against Johnson and urged fellow MPs to follow suit, has also been the subject of a gamble as he has fallen into 5/1 from 10/1 to be the next Prime Minister, making him the new favourite ahead of Keir Starmer (11/2).

Check out our Boris Johnson specials:

Year Boris Johnson Is Replaced As PM
8/11 – 2023 or later
11/10 – 2022

Next Prime Minister
5/1 – Jeremy Hunt
11/2 – Keir Starmer
8/1 – Tom Tugendhat
8/1 – Liz Truss
8/1 – Penny Mordaunt
9/1 – Rishi Sunak
11/1 – Ben Wallace


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More about the author:

Lawrence Lyons is a keen writer and qualified journalist who works as a PR Executive for BoyleSports.

Starting in the newsrooms of Belfast, he continues to stay on the ball with all things sports related with a particular passion for football. He enjoys a rant on any of the day’s big talking points from the back pages and has previously penned a weekly tipping column in the Irish Daily Star.

Keep up to date with all the latest sports and betting news by following Lawrence on Twitter now @BoyleSportsLL