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Porto v Arsenal Prediction, Preview & Odds – Champions League

We have a Porto v Arsenal prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of their Round of 16 Clash.

Porto are currently 3rd in the Liga Portugal, trailing Sporting by 4 points and Benfica by 7 points in their domestic division.

Arsenal are on a league charge again this season with hopes of winning their first Premier League title since the “invincible” season in 2003/2004. They trail Liverpool in the league by just 2 points.

How To Watch Porto v Arsenal

When is Porto v Arsenal?

Porto v Arsenal will take place Wednesday at 8.00 pm on Wednesday, February 21st in the Champions League Round of 16.

TV Channel

In Ireland, Porto v Arsenal will be broadcast on TNT Sports 1 and Virgin Media Two.

In the UK you can also tune into TNT Sports 1 to catch Wednesday night’s Champions League game.

Where is Porto v Arsenal Being Played?

Porto are the designated home team for the first leg so this fixture will be played at their home ground Estádio do Dragão in Porto, Portugal.

Porto v Arsenal Odds

Porto v Arsenal Betting Odds – Champions League
Team Odds Chance
Porto 4/1 20%
Arsenal 8/13 61.9%
The Draw 13/5 27.8%

Porto, despite their recent record against Arsenal, are priced up as 4/1 underdogs for this game.

Arsenal are widely fancied to continue their strong form at 8/13 per the latest football odds at BoyleSports. The draw can be backed at 13/5. 

Handicap Betting

Porto: +1 @ 23/20

Arsenal: -1 @ 19/10

Handicap Draw: +1 @ 12/5

To Qualify Odds

Porto @ 5/1

Arsenal @ 1/8

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Porto v Arsenal Betting Odds - Champions League 2023 24

Porto v Arsenal Preview

Porto’s Form

Porto has a rich Champions League history having won the competition in 1987 and most recently under a certain young Jose Mourinho in 2004. This season they qualified for the Round of 16 stage by finishing runner-up to Barcelona on the head-to-head tiebreaker. Their 12-point total was good enough to finish above Shakhtar Donetsk and Antwerp.

Porto at the weekend had a comfortable 2-0 victory over Estrela da Amadora with goals from Galeno and Mario. It was no more than they deserved with them having 68% of possession, 18 shots and an XG of 2.06 to their opponent’s 8 shots and XG of 0.24.

Porto were knocked out at this stage last season 0-1 on aggregate against eventual finalists Inter. Now they have another chance to reach the last 8 of Europe’s biggest club competition with little pressure on them against a side they are expected to lose to in Arsenal.

Porto’s Last Five Results

Porto 2-0 Estrela Amadora | February 17th| Win

Arouca 3-2 Porto | February 12th | Loss

Porto 0-0 Rio Ave | February 3rd | Draw

Farense 1-3 Porto | January 28th | Win

Porto 5-0 Moreirense| January 20th | Win

3 Wins, 1 Draw and 1 Loss

Arsenal’s Form

Arsenal opened their season with silverware, albeit in the Community Shield, where they overcame Man City 4-1 on penalties to get this season off to a good start.

The Gunners were knocked out of the EFL Cup in the 4th Round but remain fighting on all other fronts. They are still in the Champions League, FA Cup and 2nd in the Premier League with just 2 points separating them and Liverpool at the top.

At the weekend, Arsenal showed themselves to have a continued ruthless edge, defeating Burnley 0-5 from 16 shots and an XG of 2.21 with Burnley amassing an XG of just 0.34 from their 8 shots.

Arsenal are in flying form and will be expected to make light work of Porto, the only question remains whether they can handle the pressure which comes with the label of heavy favourites of 1/8 to qualify for the Champions League quarter-finals.

Arsenal’s Last Five Results

Burnley 0-5 Arsenal | February 17th | Win

West Ham 0-6 Arsenal | February 11th | Wins

Arsenal 3-1 Liverpool | February 4th | Win

Nottingham Forest 1-2 Arsenal | January 30th | Win

Arsenal 5-0 Crystal Palace | January 20th | Win

5 Wins

Porto v Arsenal Weather Forecast

Perfect conditions for football are expected on Saturday with the temperature expected to be 13-14 degrees with no rain forecasted.

Porto v Arsenal Predicted Lineups

Porto’s Predicted Starting XI (4-2-3-1)

GK: Costa

RB: Johnson, CB: Pepe, CB: Otavio, LB: Sanusi

CM: Varela, CM: Gonzalez

RW: Conceição, AM: Pepé, LW: Galeno

CF: Evanilson

Arsenal’s Predicted Starting XI (4-3-3)

GK: Raya

RB: White, CB: Saliba, CB: Gabriel, LB: Kiwior

RM: Odegaard, CM: Rice, LM: Havertz

RW: Saka, CF: Nketiah, LW: Martinelli

Porto v Arsenal Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

Porto wins: 2

Arsenal wins: 3

Draws: 1

Head-To-Head Results Last Five Matches

Arsenal 5-0 Porto | Champions League | March 9th, 2010

Porto 2-1 Arsenal | Champions League | February 17th, 2010

Porto 2-0 Arsenal | Champions League | December 10th, 2008

Arsenal 4-0 Porto | Champions League | September 30th, 2008

Porto 0-0 Arsenal | Champions League | December 6th, 2006

Betting Trends


Coming into this game, between both teams, there has been an average of 3 Goals Per Match this season which is almost identical to the competition average of 3.01.

In historic matches 90% have Over 1.5 Goals, 55% have Over 2.5 Goals and 40% have had BTTS.


The sum of their bookings per match is 3.70 with Porto averaging 1.9 cards and Arsenal averaging 1.8 cards..


The sides average 15.54 Corners per match between them Porto (9.10), and Arsenal (6.44) which is more than the competition average of 10.02.

Scoring Patterns

Porto’s busiest period comes from the 46th to 60th minute with 25% of the goals from their matches coming in that period.

Arsenal finished games strong with 15 goals scored in the last 15 minutes of matches and only 4 conceded.

Key Players To Watch

Evanlison – Porto

Porto are well known as being a breeding ground for top-class strikers from Radamel Falcao, Joao Felix and more to the latest man, former Brazilian U23 International Evanilson who they signed from Tombense in 2021.

The two-footed striker has 19 goals and 5 assists across 27 games in all competitions this season including 4 goals and 1 assists in 5 Champions League games.

Bukayo Saka – Arsenal

World Class Saka (22) has been going from strength to strength in these last two seasons and is now integral to everything good about Arsenal. Last weekend he put in another brilliant performance, scoring a brace vs Burnley.

From 32 matches in all competitions this season he has scored 15 goals and provided 13 assists.

Porto v Arsenal Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Porto 0-3 Arsenal

Arsenal are in red-hot form in front of goal with 11 goals in their last 2 games and 5 wins on the bounce, they look stronger and better placed for trophies than ever before.

Porto, despite their history in this competition, will be big underdogs. On the bright side, with that underdog tag comes an opportunity for a free-hit against this hotly fancied Arsenal side.

With that said, I’m expecting Arsenal to be far too good for Porto here.

Best Bet: Arsenal -2 @ 5/1

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Porto v Arsenal Odds Price Boosts - Champions League 2023 24

*Prices subject to fluctuation

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