Sevilla v Roma Prediction, Preview & Odds – Europa League Final
We have a Sevilla v Roma prediction and preview plus betting odds for you ahead of Wednesday’s Europa League Final at The Puskás Aréna.
Sevilla v Roma Match Info
Venue: The Puskás Aréna, Budapest, Hungary
When? 8.00 pm, Wednesday the 31st of May
What Channel? BT Sport 1 & Virgin Media 2
Sevilla v Roma Odds
Sevilla are marginal 7/4 favourites to win this Europa League Final within the 90 minutes and 20/23 to lift the cup.
Jose Mourinho’s Roma are the very slight underdogs who can be currently gotten at 9/5 to win in 90 minutes and 20/23 to lift the cup.
The draw is priced up at 2/1 which emphasises the tightness of this match-up on paper.
The Form – Sevilla vs Roma
In La Liga this season Sevilla have had an uncharacteristically poor season. They are currently 11th in the table with one match left to play and only 10 points above the relegation places. The Andalusian side can finish anywhere from 12th place to 7th place depending on results on the final day.
Given their league form this year it is no surprise that Sevilla, who finished fourth last year, are on their third manager of the season. Julien Lopetegui was in charge to start the season until October 5th, Jorge Sampaoli until March 21st and now José Luis Mendilibar is at the helm.
Sevilla’s Path To The Europa League Final
The Europa League specialists commenced their European journey in the Champions League but were knocked out in the Group Stage after coming third behind Man City and Borussia Dortmund. This earned them entry back into their favourite competition following a record of one win, two draws and three defeats with six goals scored and twelve conceded.
In the knockout round playoffs they beat PSV 3-0 at home in the first leg and despite PSV winning 2-0 at home in the second leg they qualified for the next round. Sevilla then drew Fenerbahçe in the Round of 16, again winning the first leg at home this time 2-0 and then qualifying for the next round despite losing the second leg this time 1-0.
In their most recent test, they overcame Manchester United (who will take on Man City in this weekend’s FA Cup Final) after coming back from 2-0 down in the first leg to draw 2-2 in the last ten minutes of the game before winning their second leg at home 3-0.
They finally earned their final spot by overcoming Juventus after a 1-1 first-leg they would beat them 2-1 AET to win 3-2 on aggregate and qualify for another European Final. They come into this final on the back of a 1-2 defeat to Real Madrid in La Liga.
Managed by serial winner Jose Mourinho Roma currently occupy sixth in the Serie A with one game remaining they can still finish between 5th place and 7th place.
Roma’s Path To The Europa League Final
Last year’s Conference League champions started their European adventure in this year’s Europa League Group C with Real Betis, Ludogorets Razgrad and HJK.
They would finish second in that group behind Betis on 16 points with 10 points and a record of two wins, one draw and two defeats and a goal difference of +4.
In the knockout round playoffs they lost their first leg to Red Bull Salzburg 1-0 away from home but overturned the defeat in the second leg with a 2-0 home win.
They drew Real Sociedad in the Round of 16 beating them 2-0 at home and then drawing 0-0 away to qualify for the Quarter-Final.
In their most recent test, they overcame a 1-0 away defeat to Feyenoord in the first leg to win 4-1 after extra time in the second leg.
They took their final step in their path to the final by overcoming Bayer Leverkusen at the semi-final stage after winning 1-0 at home in the first leg and playing out a 0-0 draw in the second leg.
Roma comes into this Europa League Final on the back of a 2-1 defeat from Fiorentina after conceding two late goals.
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Sevilla v Roma Predicted Lineups
Sevilla Predicted XI
Roma Predicted XI
Sevilla v Roma Preview
Sevilla are likely to employ a 4-2-3-1 formation where they like to play with width, particularly focusing their attacks down the right-hand side through the talents of Argentinian Winger Lucas Ocampos who has switched from the left-hand side in recent weeks. Ocampos likes to cut inside and is a capable finisher when on form.
Their primary goal threat is Youssef En-Nesyri who has 18 goals and 2 assists in all competitions this season with 4 goals and 1 assist in this competition. He is a capable finisher but also links up play well.
Roma are a tactically flexible side who will likely set themselves up in some version of a 3-4-2-1 in possession but when defending in typical Jose Mourinho fashion they will be a well-drilled outfit who particularly excel at defending set pieces due to their aerial dominance from the likes of Cristante, Smalling and Ibanez.
If anyone knows how to set up a team not to lose in a final it is Mourinho and if they take the lead you are almost certain to see Roma do their best impression of a Mourinho masterclass as they look to hold onto it.
Roma are not only dangerous from set-pieces, but they like to put an awful lot of emphasis in their attacks by playing through balls and attacking through the middle.
Mourinho chose to rest his primary attacking threats from the start at the weekend. Roma are likely to play with two creative dribblers Dybala and Pelligrini behind the industrious Abraham.
For me, their man to watch will be Dybala who has 16 goals and 7 assists in all competitions this season and is a very complete player capable of linking play, dribbling and playing defence-splitting passes while still being a great finisher.
Sevilla play an extremely aggressive style of defence, so it will be interesting to see how they try and employ that against a Roma side who many will expect to be pragmatic given it is a Mourinho team in a final.
You could very well see a few cards on both sides early on which could come into play later in the match. Sevilla do have the benefit of being competent at defending set-pieces though which means they won’t be afraid to take the foul and try and stifle the Roma momentum during the match.
Sevilla vs Roma Prediction & Best Bet
Prediction: Sevilla 1-1 Roma AET (5-4) Penalties
There’s absolutely nothing between both of these sides on form and on paper in my opinion. It comes down to what you fancy to repeat itself.
Sevilla to win their seventh Europa League title and continue their unbeaten final record or Jose Mourinho to guide another club to glory winning his fifth European trophy and build on last year’s Conference League success.
I think Sevilla win this on penalties again, repeating their 2020 success against Man United, proving they have the bottle for the big occasion.
Best Bet: Sevilla To Win On Penalties @ 15/2
Click Below For All Our Sevilla v Roma Europa League Final Odds
*Prices subject to fluctuation
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