Spain v England Women’s World Cup -Final Prediction, Preview & Betting Odds

We have a Spain v England prediction and preview plus betting odds for you ahead of the Women’s World Cup Final Sunday.

Spain v England Match Info

Venue: Stadium Australia, Sydney

When? 11.00 am, Sunday the 20th  of August

What Channel? BBC 1 and RTÉ 2

Spain v England Odds

The oddsmakers make Spain slight favourites at 4/5 while England can be gotten at 10/11 to win the 2023 Women’s World Cup.

The Form -Spain vs England

Spain’s  Form

World Number (6) Spain qualified for the third-ever appearance at a World Cup by winning UEFA Qualifying Group B amassing 24 points with a perfect eight wins from eight matches in a group containing Scotland, Ukraine, Hungary and Faroe Island. Their difference in class is emphasised by the fact they scored 53 goals in their group conceding none.

Jorge Vilda has been Spanish head coach since 2015 after putting in the hard yards with their U19 and  U17 setup at varying stages between 2009-2015. But his spell has not been without controversy, 2022 them was a dispute between himself and the players with 15 boycotting the squad for what the players perceived as a disappointing result in the UEFA Women’s Euro 2022 and after the players expressed concerns about Vilda’s coaching style and his treatment of the players

Spain started their World Cup campaign rapidly with a 3-0 victory against Costa Rica and a 5-0 win against Zambia, establishing themselves early as major contenders to win the tournament. However, they would lose their final group stage game against Japan 4-0 which meant they qualified out of the groups as runners-up.

In the Round of 16, they returned to form again though with another demolition job, this time defeating Switzerland 1-5.  Their Quarter-Final against The Netherlands was 1-1 at Full-Time and remained level until a 111th-minute winner from Salma Paralluelo. Spain finished that match with 62% of possession and 28 shots to the Dutch’s 10.

They then a routine 2-0 victory over in Denmark, to earn a Quarter-Final place against widely fancied France. In this Quarter-Final they narrowly escaped elimination again following a 0-0 AET draw, they would beat France 7-6 on penalties. Spain earned their place in the World Cup final following a dramatic 2-1 victory against Sweden.

England’s Form

England are ranked 4th in the world and entered the tournament in mediocre form for their standards with three wins, three draws (after the draw with Brazil, they beat them on penalties) and one defeat against Australia 0-2 and were scoreless in their last three games coming into the tournament. They qualified for the World Cup by UEFA Group D, winning ten from ten matches, scoring eighty goals and conceding none.

Sarina Wiegman has held the position of England head coach since September 2021, following 15 years of experience, most notably with the Netherlands. Sarina has already become the most successful England Women’s coach) with the highlight being their recent Euro 2022 success.

England had a slow start to the tournament with 1-0 victories over Haiti and Denmark. However, they came alive in their final group stage came hammering China 6-1 and announcing themselves as worthy tournament favourites.

In the Round of 16, they were very unfortunate to overcome Nigeria 4-2 on penalties following a 0-0 result AET. The winning penalty was scored emphatically by Chloe Kelly (who could have played for Ireland).

In their Quarter-Final against Columbia, they had a narrow 2-1 victory (as we accurately predicted) to earn their place in the semi-finals. England confirmed their place in the final with a 1-3 victory against co-hosts Australia (another accurate prediction!) earning the opportunity to win their second major tournament in a row.


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Spain vs England Preview

Spain’s Tactics

Spain commenced their World Cup journey against Costa Rica in a 3-0 victory, they set themselves up in a 4-2-3-1 formation and had 80% of possession. However, since that game, they have switched to a 4-3-3 formation and have still been possession dominant averaging 69.4% in their next five matches against a considerable step up in opposition like Japan, Netherlands and Sweden.

Barcelona keeper Cata Coll (22) only made her international debut in the Round of 16 against Switzerland and has played every game since, so barring injury expect her in goal for the final.

Batile and Olga are likely to retain their places with Batile starting every game of the tournament and Olga only not starting one. Parades has also started every game and I think she will be partnered by Codina in defence.

The midfield three will likely be Bonmati, Abelleira and Putellas, Abelleira will be coming into this following a Player of the Match display in the semi-final against Sweden. Up-front I’d expect  Redonda as the RW and their hero from the last game with Paralluelo off the LW supporting Hermoso as the CF.

England’s Tactics

England came into this formation with Head Coach Sarina Wiegman transitioning the team from the 3-4-1-2 formation that they used following their Euro 2022 success (which was a 4-2-3-1 formation) they used that for their opening victories 1-0 against Haiti and Denmark which they would’ve been disappointed with their performances in.

They first used the 3-4-12 formation against China where they announced themselves as genuine World Cup contenders beating the notoriously tough-to-beat Chinese side 1-6 with arguably England’s player of the tournament Lauren James being the star performer in the (10) position scoring two goals and providing three assists.

However against Nigeria, they played the same formation but despite having 56% of possession they can feel disappointed with their attacking display having only 12 shots to Nigeria’s 20 alongside a red-card for Lauren James in the 87th minute, England got out of jail and won on penalties 4-2.

In their 2-1 Quarter-Final victory over Columbia, they had 61% of the ball but still only had ten shots to Columbia’s fifteen.  However, goals from Lauren Hemp and Alessia Russo proved to be enough to get them the victory. Against Australia, they had 58% of possession and 15 shots to their opponent’s 12 eventually winning 3-1 with England finishing strong.

The English side will likely be their favoured  3-4-1-2 with Earps in net supported by Carter, Bright, and Greenwood.

In midfield, Bronze will be on the right and Stanway will continue, partnered by Walsh with Daly playing as the LM. Up-front presents Sarina with an interesting tactical conundrum. Lauren James who was their in-form player before her suspension returns and will be available for the final, but her replacement Toone scored against Australia but I still suspect James to return to the team.

The striking two will be Hemp who put in her best performance of the tournament (a goal and an assist) against Australia, partnering Russo who will be looking to score for the third successive game.

Spain v England  Head-to-Head Results

In their Head-to-Head Spain have two wins, England have four wins and one draw has occurred.

Euro 2023 Quarter-Final – Friendlies – England 2-1 Spain – July  20th, 2022

Women’s Friendlies – England 0-0 Spain – February 20th, 2022

SheBelieves Cup – England 0-1 Spain – March 11th, 2020

Women’s Friendlies – England 2-1 Spain April 9th, 2019

European Championship Group D – England 2-0 Spain 23rd July 2017

Women’s Friendlies – Spain 1-2 England 25th October 2016

European Championship Group C – England 2-3 Spain 12th July 2013

Spain vs England  Prediction

Prediction: Spain 1-2  England

Best Bet: England Women 10/11

Spain comes into this as very marginal favourites having been the in-form side throughout the tournament aside from their 4-0 group stage defeat against Japan, they have since battered Switzerland 1-5 and overcome difficult tests against The Netherlands and Sweden 2-1.

England have flattered to deceive at times beating Haiti and Denmark in the group 1-0, they had a massive 1-6 win against China but then only overcame Nigeria on penalties. There seems to be ruthless edge and experience in this English side as seen in their 2-1 against Columbia and 1-3 win against Australia and I suspect they will edge a very tight final to win their second successive major tournament.

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