2023 Rugby World Cup Final Odds – New Zealand v South Africa
In this post we break down all the 2023 Rugby World Cup Final odds as New Zealand and South Africa go head-to-head for the biggest prize of them all.
2023 Rugby World Cup Final Odds: New Zealand v South Africa
| 2023 Rugby World Cup Final Odds – New Zealand v South Africa | ||
| Team | Odds | Chance |
| New Zealand | 4/5 | 55.6% |
| South Africa | 6/5 | 45.5% |
| The Draw | 18/1 | 5.3% |
New Zealand are the marginal favourites to win the 2023 Rugby World Cup Final in 80 minutes at 4/5 odds.
South Africa on the other hand are marginal underdogs going into this final at 6/5 to win the game in 80 minutes.
A draw after 80 minutes in the 2023 Rugby World Cup Final is priced up at odds of 18/1.
These two teams previously drew after 80 minutes in the 1995 Rugby World Cup Final which South Africa went on to win in extra time. The last time a Rugby World Cup Final went to extra time was in 2003 between England and Australia when Johnny Wilkinson scored a famous drop goal to win England the trophy.
2023 Rugby World Cup Winner Odds
| 2023 Rugby World Cup Winner Odds – New Zealand v South Africa | ||
| Team | Odds | Chance |
| New Zealand | 3/4 | 57.1% |
| South Africa | 11/10 | 47.6% |
New Zealand are the favourites to win the 2023 Rugby World Cup at odds of 3/4 ahead of this Saturday’s final.
South Africa will go into the final as marginal underdogs at odds of 11/10 to lift the trophy.
Handicap Betting Odds
New Zealand: -2 @ Evens
South Africa: +2 @ Evens
Handicap Draw: -2 @ 18/1
New Zealand are now -2 favourites in the handicap betting for this year’s Rugby World Cup Final. The All Blacks were favourites of -1 earlier in the week but have now been bet out to -2 which suggests plenty of bets or smart money is backing New Zealand to win this Rugby World Cup Final.
Click Below For Our LIVE 2023 Rugby World Cup Final Odds
BoyleSports Rugby World Cup Final Odds Price Boosts
Ahead of the 2023 Rugby World Cup Final BoyleSports have put together some fantastic odds price boosts that could pay off big for punters.
South Africa To Win By 1 to 10 Points @ 2/1 NOW 5/2
With little separating these sides, odds of 2/1 on South Africa to win by between 1 to 10 points looks like great value. At odds of 5/2 it surely represents great value especially when you consider the fact that the Springboks have won 3 of the last 5 games between these two teams.
It is worth noting however that only one of those victories came by less than ten points.
Jordie Barrett To Score A Try @ 11/4 NOW 3/1
Jordie Barrett is New Zealand’s Mr. Versatile with his ability to play anywhere in the backs (apart from scrum-half).
He also has a knack for getting over the try line with 22 international test tries in 51 appearances for the All Blacks. That try scoring rate suggests that odds of 3/1 represent good value on him getting his name among the tries this Saturday evening.
Both Teams To Score 20 or More & New Zealand Win @ 7/2 NOW 4/1
For those that want to root for a classic game of high-scoring rugby then this is the bet for you!
According to recent matchups between these teams there’s every chance that that kind of scoring could be on the cards in this year’s Final. Three of the last five games between these teams has had both teams score 20 or more points. New Zealand won two of those three games.
Recent history between these teams suggests that odds of 4/1 here are great value.
Cheslin Kolbe To Score A Try In The First Half @ 9/2 NOW 5/1
The electric wing Cheslin Kolbe burst into life in South Africa’s Quarter-Final win against France and here at BoyleSports he is being boosted from 9/2 to 5/1 to score a try in the first half of this game.
Kolbe’s try against France was one of two tries he has scored in this tournament. The other came against Ireland which suggests that Kolbe could be a man for the big occasion.
In his South Africa career, the winger has 14 tries in just 30 appearances. That record along with his recent scores against Ireland and France suggest that odds of 5/1 on Kolbe touching down for the Springboks in the first half of this final represent good value.
Will Jordan To Score The First Try @ 7/1 NOW 15/2
If you watch New Zealand play rugby then you are very likely to hear the name Will Jordan followed by ‘Try!’ very often.
Simply put, the All Blacks winger is a try-scoring machine with 8 tries to his name already in this tournament which makes him a virtual certainty to secure top try-scorer honours. The Crusaders wing is good for a try-a-game over the course of his international test career with 31 tries in 30 appearances for the All Blacks.
Last time out Jordan got a hat-trick for himself against Argentina. He also got his name amongst the tries in New Zealand’s Quarter-Final victory over Ireland.
The first tryscorer is always going to be a tricky one to predict but based on all available information we have, Jordan is the most likely player to cross the line first in this game. At odds of 15/2, this has to represent great value for bettors.
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2023 Rugby World Cup Final Tryscorer Betting Odds
First Tryscorer Odds
| 2023 Rugby World Cup Final First Tryscorer Odds | ||
| Player | First Try | Chance |
| Will Jordan | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Mark Telea | 9/1 | 10% |
| Cheslin Kolbe | 11/1 | 8.3% |
| Kurt-Lee Arendse | 11/1 | 8.3% |
| Bongi Mbonambi | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Codie Taylor | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Jordie Barrett | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Ardie Savea | 18/1 | 5.3% |
| Rieko Ioane | 18/1 | 5.3% |
| Aaron Smith | 20/1 | 4.8% |
| Beauden Barrett | 20/1 | 4.8% |
| Damian Willemse | 20/1 | 4.8% |
| Eben Etzebeth | 25/1 | 3.8% |
| Faf De Klerk | 25/1 | 3.8% |
Anytime Tryscorer Odds
| 2023 Rugby World Cup Final Anytime Tryscorer Odds | ||
| Player | Anytime Try | Chance |
| Will Jordan | 11/10 | 47.6% |
| Mark Telea | 7/5 | 41.7% |
| Cheslin Kolbe | 9/5 | 35.7% |
| Kurt-Lee Arendse | 9/5 | 35.7% |
| Bongi Mbonambi | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Codie Taylor | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Jordie Barrett | 11/4 | 26.7% |
| Ardie Savea | 3/1 | 25% |
| Rieko Ioane | 3/1 | 25% |
| Aaron Smith | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Beauden Barrett | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Damian Willemse | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Eben Etzebeth | 9/2 | 18.2% |
| Faf De Klerk | 9/2 | 18.2% |
Man of the Match Odds
| 2023 Rugby World Cup Final Man of the Match Odds | ||
| Player | Odds | Chance |
| Ardie Savea | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Handre Pollard | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Pieter Steph Du Toit | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Richie Mounga | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Eben Etzebeth | 11/1 | 8.3% |
| Siya Kolisi | 11/1 | 8.3% |
| Shannon Frizell | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Will Jordan | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Cheslin Kolbe | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| Duane Vermeulen | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| Jordie Barrett | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| Kwagga Smith | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| Mark Telea | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| Sam Cane | 14/1 | 6.7% |
Recent Rugby World Cup Final history suggests that the Man of the Match is more likely to be one of the forwards than one of the backs.
Two of the last three Man of the Match winners in Rugby World Cup Finals were forwards. The same is also true for three of the last five Man of the Match recipients being forwards if you go back further.
If you want to narrow it down further, then it’s worth noting that none of those forward Man of the Match winners played in the front row. So that leaves us with numbers 4-8 on either side being the most likely to pick up the Man of the Match award winner in Saturday’s Final.
Personally, I like Scott Barrett at 20/1 here to pick up the award while Shannon Frizell also has a great chance at 12/1 in the betting.
If you are going to bet on a back to win Man of the Match then history tells us that you are best to opt for one of the two starting fly-halfs.
Handre Pollard at 7/1 is a little short for me as he doesn’t give you a whole lot from open play. Richie Mounga at 10/1 appears the better value bet especially with New Zealand favoured to win this game.
Previous Rugby World Cup Final Man of the Match Winners and Positions
2019 – England v South Africa – Duane Vermeulen – No. 8 – Forward
2015 – New Zealand v Australia – Dan Carter – No. 10 – Back
2011 – France v New Zealand – Thierry Dusautoir – No. 6 – Forward
2007 – England v South Africa – Victor Matfield – No. 5 – Forward
2003 – Australia v England – Johnny Wilkinson – No. 10 – Back
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