Chelsea v Brentford Prediction, Preview & Odds – Premier League

We have a Chelsea v Brentford prediction for you plus all the odds as we preview this Saturday early kick-off in the Premier League.

Chelsea are now unbeaten in their last three Premier League games including a 2-2 draw against Arsenal last time out. They will be hoping to continue with that momentum as they welcome a Brentford side that will be high in confidence after beating Burnley 3-0 in their last outing.

We break down all the form, matchups and stats below.

How To Watch Chelsea v Brentford

Venue: Stamford Bridge, London

When? 12.30 pm, Saturday 28th October

What Channel? TNT Sports 1

Chelsea v Brentford Odds

Chelsea are 6/10 favourites to win their third game in four league matches and continue their strong recent form.

Brentford are the underdogs at 4/1 as they make the short trip to Stamford Bridge for this week’s early kick-off.

The draw is priced at 3/1.

Click Below For Our LIVE Chelsea v Brentford Odds

Chelsea v Brentford Preview

Chelsea’s Form

Former Tottenham manager Mauricio Pochettino is the man tasked with steering the ship at Chelsea.

The Blues have had an interesting start to their season. They opened their account with a 1-1 draw in Stamford Bridge against Liverpool. That was followed by four points from their next five league games where they lost 3-1 against West Ham, 0-1 against Nottingham Forest and 0-1 against Aston Villa.

Those results had plenty speculating that Pochettino could find himself getting the sack early in the season. However, the ship has steadied since with two league victories in their last three games 0-2 against Fulham and 1-4 against Burnley. 

Last Saturday it looked like Chelsea were on course for their third successive League win after going 2-0 up in the North West London Derby inside 48 minutes after goals from Palmer and Mudryk. However, Arsenal fought back to claim a draw after goals from Rice in the 77th minute and Trossard in the 84th minute meant that honours were even at the full time whistle.

For me, the most revealing statistic (Per UnderStat) for Chelsea is that, despite their slow start to the season, they are 4th on the Expected Points table. This arguably shows that the Pochettino project is in full swing and we can expect Chelsea to rise further up the table sooner rather than later.

Brentford’s Form

Brentford haven’t quite reached the heights of last season so far in this Premier League campaign. They started this season with a 2-2 draw against Tottenham and a 0-3 victory against Fulham which was followed by draws against Crystal Palace, Bournemouth and a 1-0 defeat to Newcastle

Since then things have gotten worse for Brentford. They fell to a 3-1 loss to Everton before drawing against Nottingham Forest. They would then agonisingly squander a 1-0 stoppage time lead against Manchester United following heroics from Scott McTominay

On the bright side, they did get back to winning ways last time out with a 3-0 victory against Burnley.

It should be noted though that Brentford is a club which is modelled on “Choosing Wisely ” by making smart decisions. They work off advanced statistics like the Expected Goals stat which is one of the metrics they judge long-term success on.

It’s interesting to note that, like Chelsea, their Expected Points have them substantially higher than their actual position on the table. They are 7th on the Expected Points table compared to 14th in reality.

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Chelsea v Brentford Predicted Lineups

Chelsea’s Predicted Starting XI

Formation: 4-2-3-1

GK: Sanchez

RB: James, CB: Silva, CB: Colwill, LB Cucarella

CM: Caicedo, CM: Gallagher, CM: Fernández,

RW: Palmer, CF: Sterling, LW: Mudryk

Brentford Predicted Starting XI

Formation: 4-3-3

GK: Flakken

RB: Ajer, CB: Collins, CB: Pinnock, LB: Janelt

RCM: Onyeka, CM: Norgaard, LCM; Jansen

RW: Mbueumo, CF: Wissa, LW: Maupay

Chelsea v Brentford Head-to-Head Results

Per FootyStats, in their last 8 matches, the statistics in games between these teams are as follows. Chelsea have 4 wins (50%) of games, 2 draws have taken place (25%), and Brentford has 2 wins (25% of matches).

From those matches, 75% of them have had over 1.5 Goals, 50% of them have had Over 2.5 Goals, 50% of them have had over 3.5 Goals, 25% of them have had BTTS while Chelsea have kept a clean sheet 63% of the time.

Here are the results from the last five Chelsea v Brentford games:

Chelsea 0-2 Brentford | 26 April 2023 Premier League 

Brentford 0-0 Chelsea | 19 October 2022 Premier League 

Chelsea 1-4 Brentford | 2 April 2022 Premier League 

Brentford 0-2 Chelsea | 22 December 2021 EFL Cup 

Brentford 0-1 Chelsea | 16 October 2021 Premier League

Chelsea v Brentford Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Chelsea 3-1 Brentford

This is a fascinating tie with the newest “Poch Project” being pitted against the well-established Moneyball model of Brentford which has seen them rise up the leagues.

Chelsea will be disappointed after squandering their 2-0 lead against Arsenal on Saturday Night. However, they should gain some sort of solace knowing that their performances on the whole look have been coming together in recent weeks.

Brentford will be high in confidence after their victory against Burnley. Both sides have had issues with finishing their chances this season, but I can see that changing in this one with Chelsea eventually winning out.

Best Bet: Over 3.5 Goals and Chelsea Win @ 3/1

Click Below For Our LIVE Chelsea v Brentford Odds

*Prices subject to fluctuation

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