Seeley’s Selections – Sunday’s Euro 2016 Qualifying Tips
IT’S been a fantastic start to the international week for followers of this column with clean sweeps of winning tips in both the Scotland v Northern Ireland and England v Lithuania matches and on Sunday I have another set of confident predictions that will add to the Easter holiday spends.
The first game I’m going to start with on this international Super Sunday is the 5pm kick-off from Belfast in the Group F clash between Northern Ireland and Finland iand trust me this isn’t going to be pretty.
The Northern Irish have been the surprise package of the qualification campaign and have given themselves a great chance of making it through to next summers finals, but anybody who watched their pitiful performance against Scotland in midweek couldn’t be backing them at the 9/5 with BoyleSports for this one.
The Northern Irish will certainly make a whole host of changes from midweek, but they could still be playing now and they wouldn’t have scored.
Michael O’Neil’s side is much better when underdogs and with the expectation of the home support now on them, this could be the time for them to be opposed.
Saying that though, I really couldn’t back Finland at 19/10 for the win either.
Finland have also started well in qualifying, with just one loss in their opening four matches, but coach Mixu Paatelainen will come to Windsor Park not to get beat, and I think they will cancel each other out in a bore draw at 21/10 with BoyleSports.
The best bet in this game is a shorty, but it’s a goodie and that is for the match to see less that 2.5 goals at 4/9 with BoyleSports.
That price will tempt the big players, but smaller players should also get involved by putting it in the weekend accumulators as to me it’s as good as finding the cash in the street.
10 of the last 11 Northern Ireland games have seen less than 2.5 goals scored and that has also been the case in five of the last six Finland matches.
I’m also all over the 29/20 which everybody should get involved in on the game to see less than 1.5 goals with BoyleSports and to get the clean sweep again, a quid on no goalscorer at 11/2 sn’t the worst bet you will see on this bumper international weekend.
N.Ireland v Finland – Draw @ 21/10
Under 2.5 Goals @ 4/9
Under 1.5 Goals @ 29/20
Scotland v Gibraltar
IF you want to see goals when you watch your football then switch over and tune into the Group D game between Scotland and Gibraltar from Hampden Park which also kicks of at 5pm on Sunday.
The Scots have suffered some embarrassing defeats in the past, but a loss to Gibraltar will be the biggest shock not only in Scottish football but in world football.
Gibraltar are 66/1 to get the shock win with BoyleSports, but honestly I wouldn’t back the minnows if you put TWO extra noughts onto that price.
Gibraltar have never won a game and they haven’t scored in this qualifying campaign and the 1/5 best industry price with BoyleSports on the Scots to win to nil is very, very short, but it will be settled as a winner.
Scotland will win, they are 1/100 with BoyleSports for a reason and for us to make any money we have to guess how many they are going to win by, simples.
Gibraltar have got slightly better since their opening 7-0 thrashing by Poland and the last time out they only lost 4-0 against world champions Germany, which was greeted with a open top bus procession around Main Street on their return.
The favourites correct-score markets with BoyleSports are 4-0 and 5-0 both at 9/2 and I’m going to opt for a 4-0 home win at the price.
This isn’t going to be a cricket score and Scotland’s striker options would be a major concern for high correct-score backers with Steven Fletcher, Steven Naismith, Ross McCormack and Jordan Rhodes all struggling for goals for their clubs and at very, very short prices that quartet should be avoided in the first goalscorer markets.
Gibraltar concede an awful lot of goals from set-pieces and it might pay to take a bigger price on a Scotland defender to open the scoring and Christophe Berra at 16/1 could be the man again.
The Ipswich Town defender grabbed the opener against Northern Ireland and at 16s with BoyleSports he looks value to open the scoring for the second time in a week.
Correct Score Scotland To Win 4-0 @ 9/2
Christophe Berra First Goalscorer @ 16/1
Rep. of Ireland v Poland
The final game of the international weekend is a big one when the Republic of Ireland take on Poland in a massive Group D clash at the Aviva Stadium.
Ireland have made an indifferent start to of their qualification campaign with a massive high in Germany and a low in their last outing with the defeat in Scotland.
Ireland are always popular with the you patriotic BoyleSports punters and they will be again at the 13/8 available for the home win, but this is a real tough one.
The Poles are flying at the moment, they currently sit at the top the group after an unbeaten start to their qualification campaign and have scored more goals, 13 than any other team in Euro qualification (prior to this weekends matches) and this will be a huge step up for the Irish after recent home wins against USA, Gibraltar and Oman.
Poland are 21/10 with BoyleSports to win this and probably the only Irishman cheering them on will be the odds-compilers in Dundalk, but I don’t think they will win this, I don’t think they will lose either and again I see the draw looking the best value in the game at 21/10 with BoyleSports.
Unlike the Northern Ireland game though, I think this could be an entertaining one and in two of Poland’s last three games they’ve played in 2-2 thrillers and the 14/1 with BoyleSports on another “desmond” looks a very smart play.
Robbie Keane is a 5/1 chance with BoyleSports to open the scoring at the Aviva and the skipper has already weighed in with three goals in qualification and probably the 9/4 on him scoring anytime and adding to his 65 international goals would be a better bet.
Robert Lewandoswki is in fantastic form for both Bayern Munich and Poland and the 9/2 on the polish star man to open the scoring would be my choice.
Draw @ 21/10
Correct Score 2-2 @ 14/1
Robbie Keane Anytime Goalscorer @ 9/4
Robert Lewandowski First Goalscorer @ 9/2