Man United v Chelsea Prediction, Preview & Odds – Premier League
We have a Man United v Chelsea prediction and preview plus odds for you ahead of their penultimate league game of the season on Thursday.
Man United v Chelsea Match Info
Venue: Old Trafford, Manchester, England
When? 8.00 pm, Thursday, 25th of May
What Channel? Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League
Man United v Chelsea Odds
Man United are coming into this match as 4/7 favourites with 90% of bettors favouring a home victory.
Out of form, Chelsea are underdogs coming into this match and they can be currently gotten at 4/1 with 4% of bettors favouring an away victory.
The draw is priced at 16/5 and 6% of bettors have backed that (all percentage betting splits correct at the time of writing, Monday morning May 22nd).
The Form – Man United v Chelsea
Man United’s Form
Erik ten Hag in his first season at the club has already guided his side to an EFL Cup victory, Europa League Quarter-Final and an FA Cup Final against Man City next month where they will hope to stop their “noisy neighbours” from winning the treble.
Despite success in these other competitions the man priority for rookie Premier League manager Erik ten Hag’s was to return the club to the Champions League and while it is close to completion there is still work to be done.
With two games to play, Man United are fourth on 69-points. This tally has them three points clear of Liverpool in fifth place and needing just one point in their remaining two games to qualify for the 23/23 Champions League.
In their last five league games they have three wins and two defeats, with their most recent result being a huge 0-1 victory over Bournemouth last weekend to put them on the brink of securing fourth place.
Chelsea have had a horrible 22/23 season shown best by the fact they have had four managers in the dugout this season Thomas Tuchel, Graham Potter, Bruno Saitor and Frank Lampard.
They are currently twelfth in the table on 43-points with 11 wins, 10 draws and 15 defeats in their 36 matches so far this season. This performance in the league was so bad that it only had them mathematically safe from relegation in recent weeks.
Interim manager Frank Lampard since taking over as caretaker manager on the 6th of April has one win, one draw and seven defeats in his nine games in charge which works out to an appalling win rate of 11.1%.
The Blues lost 1-0 to Man City at the weekend which made it three defeats, one draw and one win in their last five league games.
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Man United v Chelsea Preview
Man United’s Attack
Man United have struggled for goals this season with only 52 goals in their 36 matches an average of 1.44 goals per match. Despite holding 4th place in the table eight teams in the league have managed to outscore them with attacking talent like Sancho, Antony and Martial being inconsistent and underperforming throughout the season.
Rashford has been the one bright spark this season with his dynamism and pace meaning he has 16 goals and 5 assists this season which is seven more goal contributions than their next most productive player Bruno Fernandes with 6 goals and 8 assists.
It’s clear that Rashford is the main attacking threat and at the weekend without him, United only created an XG of 1.4 from 20 shots. However, teen sensation Alejandro Garnacho has returned from injury recently and throughout his cameos he has been a breath of fresh air in attack so don’t be surprised if the teenager is handed a start on Thursday.
Chelsea’s defence has conceded 42 goals this season an average of 1.16 goals per match which is good enough to be the Premier League’s fourth-best defence behind Man City (31), Newcastle (32) and Man United (41).
In their last five league matches they have conceded 9 goals in their last five matches an average of 1.8 goals per game. In their most recent defeat, 1-0 to Man City, they restricted their opponents to an XG of 1.1 which is no mean feat against a Man City side no matter how heavily rotated.
Despite the hundreds of millions that have been invested into this Chelsea squad, much of which was in attacking areas, their record this season has been extremely poor with just 36 goals.
That average of 1 goal per match across their 36 matches puts them among the worst attacks in the league with only three teams in the top flight having scored fewer goals. Those teams are Southampton (32), Everton (33) and Wolves (31).
Man United’s Defence
Man United have conceded 41 goals this season which is the league’s third-best defence after Man City (31) and Newcastle (32).
Man United have been boosted in their last two matches with the return of Varane who has allowed Luke Shaw also to return to his favoured LB position. This combined with the form of Lindelof and Wan Bissaka has meant they have kept two clean sheets in a row.
The Red Devils have also exhibited more control in midfield since Casemiro and Eriksen returned as a partnership meaning they have had to defend even less.
Man United v Chelsea Prediction & Best Bet
Prediction: Man United 2-0 Chelsea
Man United need a point to secure Champions League football next season and prevent rivals Liverpool from making a late charge for the final spot.
Chelsea are out of sorts this season and will be looking forward to a much-needed break and refresh during the off-season. That being said, they are still Chelsea and will want to put a crack into Man United’s Champions League prospects on Thursday.
There won’t be a lot of goals in this one but I think there will be two.
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*Prices subject to fluctuation
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