New Zealand v Uruguay Prediction, Preview & Odds – Rugby World Cup
We have a New Zealand v Uruguay prediction along with the betting odds for you ahead of the final weekend of Pool A action.
How To Watch New Zealand v Uruguay
New Zealand v Uruguay Time
New Zealand will play Uruguay at 8pm on Thursday, October 5th.
New Zealand v Uruguay Location
The game will be played in Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Décines-Charpieu, France.
TV Channel
If you are in Ireland you can watch New Zealand v Uruguay on RTÉ 2 with pre-match coverage from 7.30pm
The game will be broadcast on ITV4 in the United Kingdom with coverage beginning from 7.15pm.
Live Stream
In Ireland you can stream this game on RTÉ Player.
If you are in the UK you can stream New Zealand v Uruguay on ITVX.
New Zealand v Uruguay Odds
| New Zealand v Uruguay Betting Odds – Rugby World Cup | ||
| Team | Odds | Chance |
| New Zealand | 1/1000 | 99.9% |
| Uruguay | 80/1 | 1.2% |
| The Draw | 150/1 | 0.7% |
New Zealand are 1/1000 favourites in this game and guaranteed qualification out of the pool.
Uruguay are 80/1 to cause what would probably be the greatest shock in the history of rugby union. The draw is priced up at even longer odds of 150/1.
Handicap Betting Odds
New Zealand: -67 @ 10/11
Uruguay: +67 @ 10/11
Handicap Draw: -67 @ 18/1
New Zealand v Uruguay Preview
New Zealand’s Form
Rugby World Cup Form
In the opening fixture of the tournament New Zealand lost their first-ever pool stage match at a Rugby World Cup. That loss came to tournament hosts 27-13 against tournament hosts France.
The All Blacks followed that up with a rampant 71-3 win over Namibia the following weekend to get their campaign back on track. They would then get a week break before dismantling Italy 96-17 to put themselves in high spirits heading into this game against Uruguay.
New Zealand are the world number 4 ranked team. The country is looking to add to their Rugby World Cup successes in 1987, 2011 and 2015. In 2019, they came in third following a semi-final elimination from England before they won the Bronze final against Wales 40-17.
Form Coming Into The 2023 Rugby World Cup
Head Coach Ian Foster has been in charge since 2010 and has come under pressure for his job throughout due to his 69%-win rate coming into the competition.
Remarkably not since Laurie Mains’s 1992-1995 record of 67.6% has an All Blacks Head Coach had a worse win percentage.
Despite this poor record, Foster was given this tournament for one last hurrah before being replaced by Scott Robertson after the World Cup.
New Zealand started their Rugby World Cup preparations with great success by winning the Rugby Championship back in July. In that competition they won all their games including a 41-12 victory over Argentina, a 35-20 win over South Africa and a convincing 38-7 win against Australia.
In New Zealand’s final warm-up games they were less than impressive. The All Blacks only narrowly beat Australia 23-20 before being dominated by South Africa in a 7-35 defeat in Twickenham.
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Uruguay’s Form
2023 Rugby World Cup Form
Uruguay opened their Pool A campaign with a respectable 27-12 defeat against a heavily rotated France side.
The Uruguayans put in another strong performance in their next outing of the tournament. This time Italy were the opposition and it looked like a shock could be on the cards as Uruguay held the lead up until the 52nd minute of the game.
Building on those first two performances, Uruguay got their first victory of the Pool A with a 36-26 win over Namibia last Wednesday. However, they face an extremely difficult task against New Zealand following their rampant win last time out.
Form Coming Into The 2023 Rugby World Cup
Uruguay are the 17th ranked nation in World Rugby. The country has never gotten out of the Pool Stage at a Rugby World Cup although there are promising signs following a strong showing at this Rugby World Cup.
Esteban Meneses has been in charge of this team since 2015 and has guided them to two successive tournaments after a 1-1 qualifier series draw with the United States.
Uruguay lost the first game 19-16 but won the second game 34-15. They qualified for the 2023 Rugby World Cup as a result on aggregate points, 50-34.
During their pre-tournament warm-up games, Uruguay won two from two games, a 26-25 victory over Chile which was followed by a 26-18 win over Namibia.
New Zealand v Uruguay Lineups
New Zealand Starting Lineup
- Ofa Tu’ungafasi
- Codie Taylor
- Tyrel Lomax
- Samuel Whitelock
- Tupou Vaa’i
- Shannon Frizell
- Sam Cane (C)
- Luke Jacobson
- Cam Roigard
- Richie Mo’unga
- Leicester Fainga’anuku
- Jordie Barrett
- Anton Lienert-Brown
- Will Jordan
- Damian McKenzie
Key Players To Watch
Will Jordan (New Zealand)
New Zealand have never been short of world class half-backs and in Will Jordan they found another. Jordan is versatile as he is equally comfortable operating from the wing or full-back.
In just 27 appearances for his country he has already racked up an incredible 125 points. He got his first try of the tournament last week against Italy and will fancy his chances of getting his name amongst the top tournament try scorers in this game if New Zealand can dominate like many expect them to.
The Crusaders clubman once scored five tries in a test match against Tonga which is a testament to his finishing ability.
Baltazar Amaya
Baltazar Amaya is a Uruguayan–Argentine who currently plays for Súper Liga Americana de Rugby side Peñarol and is usually found on the wing or as a full-back. Having previously represented the country in Rugby Sevens, he has been capped 8 times since his debut in 2021.
Amaya got his first two tries for Uruguay in their 36-26 win over Namibia and is also a more than capable kicker.
Baltazar Amaya that was an outrageous finish 🤩#RWC2023 | #URUvNAM pic.twitter.com/WhyBDZwA26
— Rugby World Cup (@rugbyworldcup) September 27, 2023
New Zealand v Uruguay Rugby Results
This match is the first official Test match between the two countries, but they first met during Graham Mourie’s All Blacks tour of Argentina and Uruguay in 1976, the All Blacks winning 64-3.
New Zealand v Uruguay Prediction & Best Bet
Prediction: New Zealand 75-3 Uruguay
New Zealand will want to win big here to keep their momentum going heading into the quarter-finals. The All Blacks will be confident following their outstanding performance against Italy in their most recent pool game.
That being said, Uruguay have not been embarrassed in any of their games, even against France and so could fancy their chances of keeping the score respectable in this game too.
Best Bet: New Zealand To Win Both Halves By 34 Points Or More @ 5/2
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