Chelsea v Aston Villa  Prediction, Preview & Odds – FA Cup

We have a Chelsea v Aston Villa prediction for you plus a breakdown of the betting odds, team news and matchups ahead of their FA Cup clash.

Chelsea are turning into something of a cup specialist side this season, their 6-1 victory this week against Middlesbrough booked their place in the EFL Cup final and they will look to bring that form back into the FA Cup.

Aston Villa have been in brilliant form this season putting them fourth in the and are arguably one of the most dangerous sides in England right now with only one defeat in their last fourteen matches in all competitions.

How To Watch Chelsea v Aston Villa

When is Chelsea v Aston Villa?

Aston Villa v Chelsea will take Friday at 7.45 pm in the FA Cup.

TV Channel

N/a

Live Stream

Where is Chelsea v Aston Villa Being Played?

Chelsea are at home so this fixture will be played at their home ground Stamford Bridge.

Chelsea v Aston Villa Odds

Chelsea are 21/20 favourites for this game to make home advantage count.

Aston Villa are 11/5 outsiders despite being ahead of their opponents in the league and the draw is priced at 13/5.

Handicap Betting

Chelsea: -1 @ 9/4

Aston Villa +1 @ 5/6

Handicap Draw -1@ 14/5

Click Below For Our LIVE Chelsea v Aston Villa Odds

Chelsea v Aston Villa Weather Forecast

The weather is forecast to be between 4 and 5 degrees with a 0% chance of rain.

Chelsea v Aston Villa Preview

Chelsea’s Form

Chelsea have been a curious case under Pochetinho this season currently nineth in the league, there are signs of the tide turning more though with four victories and one defeat in their last five league games. They have been more consistent in Cup competitions though beating Middlesbrough 6-1 midweek to reach the EFL Cup Final.

That victory against Middlesbrough was as comprehensive as they came overturning their 1-0 deficit from the first leg of the tie with a clinical 6-1 victory scoring those six goals from just 13  shots and an XG of 2.97 and only conceding 1 goal.

Chelsea come into this with a record of 40 victories in their last 47 FA Cup matches at home, winning their last eight with an aggregate score of 24-3.

Chelsea’s Last Five Results

Chelsea 6-1 Middlesbrough | January 23rd | Win

Chelsea 1-0 Fulham | January 13th | Win

Middlesbrough 1-0 Chelsea | January 9th | Loss

Chelsea 4-0 Preston | January 6th | Wins

Luton Town 2-3 Chelsea | December 30th | Win

4 Wins and 1 Loss

Aston Villa’s Form

Aston Villa had a phenomenal 2023 and have continued those performances into 2024 with their only defeat in their last fourteen matches in all competitions coming 3-2 against Man United on Boxing Day. Interestingly, they faced Middlesbrough last round winning 1-0 and ending their eight-match losing streak in the competition.

Villa despite their solid form had a disappointing 0-0 draw away to Everton a few weeks ago. Despite their 69% of possession, they weren’t able to create many meaningful chances with their 16 shots only accumulating an XG of 1.26, marginally higher than Everton’s total of 1.20  from ten shots.

The job being done by Unai Emery at Aston Villa is going criminally under the rader and it’s not beyond the realms of possibility they pick up a result here continuing their flying form.

Aston Villa’s Last Five Results

Everton 0-0 Aston Villa | January 14th | Draw

Middlesbrough 0-1 Aston Villa | January 6th | Win

Aston Villa 3-2 Burnley | December 30th | Win

Man United 3-2 Aston Villa | December 26th | Loss

Aston Villa  1-1 Sheffield United | December 22nd | Draw

2 Wins, 2  Draws and 1 Loss

Chelsea v Aston Villa Predicted Lineups

Chelsea Predicted Starting XI  (4-2-3-1)

GK: Petrovic.

RB: Disasi, CB: Silva, CB: Colwill,  LB Cucurella

CM: Caicedo, CM: Fernández,

RW: Sterling,  AM: Palmer,  LW: Mudryk

CF: Broja

Aston Villa’s Predicted Starting XI (3-5-2)

GK: Martinez

RB: Cash, CB: Konsa, CB: Lenglet, LB: Moreno

RM: Bailey, CM: Kamara. CM: Luiz, LM: McGinn

CF: Watkins, CF: Diaby

Chelsea v Aston Villa Head-To-Head Results & Stats

All-Time Head-To-Head Record

Chelsea wins: 68

Aston Villa wins: 60

Draws: 35

Head-To-Head Results Last Five Matches

Chelsea 0-1 Aston Villa | Premier League| September 24th, 2023

Chelsea 0-2 Aston Villa |  Premier League | April 1st, 2023

Aston Villa 0-2 Chelsea | Premier League | October 16th, 2022

Aston Villa 1-3 Chelsea | Premier League | December 26th, 2022

Chelsea 1-1 Aston Villa | League Cup| September 22nd, 2021

Betting Trends

Goals

Coming in the game between both teams there has been an average of 3.0 Goals Per Match this season in the FA Cup which is less than the competition average of 3.28

In historic matches 70% have Over 1.5 Goals, 45% have Over 2.5 Goals and 55% have had BTTS.

Cards

Between both sides, they average 6.2 Cards Per Match, which is significantly higher than the competition average of 3.66.

Corners

Interestingly the sides average 13.56 Corners per match between them which is also more than the competition average of 10.27

Scoring Patterns

The end of the game could be chaotic with Chelsea scoring 5 goals and conceding 11 in the last fifteen minutes.

Aston Villa’s busiest period comes in the last fifteen minutes also and ironically have the reverse record to Chelsea with 11 goals scored and 5 conceded.

Key Players To Watch

Raheem Sterling – Chelsea

Considering the career he has had with Liverpool, Man City and now Chelsea at only 29 years old, some could argue that Sterling is one of the most underrated Premier League Footballers in the last decade or a half.

Ahead of this game, Sterling has 10 goals and 9 assists in his last 20 FA Cup starts including scoring and assisting one each in their 4-0 victory over Preston in the third round.

Ollie Watkins -Aston Villa

The pacy Villa attacker Watkins (27) is The Villian’s primary attacking threat with 14 goals and 10 assists from 29 matches in all competitions this season for the club.

His pace and link-up play will be crucial on the counter for Villa in this cup game particularly if Chelsea dominates possession as expected.

Chelsea v Aston Villa Prediction & Best Bet

Prediction: Chelsea 2-1 Aston Villa

Chelsea look like a more consistent animal in recent weeks, particularly in cup competitions and will come into this fixture full of confidence.

Aston Villa despite their disappointing draw against Everton last time out have proved a tough nut to crack for everyone this season and have major claims again.

This match could genuinely go either way, (hence my best bet choice) no matter who wins I think it’ll be narrow but right now I am backing Chelsea.

Best Bet:  Ollie Watkins First Goalscorer 11/2

Click Below For Our LIVE Chelsea v Aston Villa Odds

*Prices subject to fluctuation